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                    <text>Item ID Number

01501

Author

Coombs, John

Corporate Author
Report/Article Title ^ne Agent Orange Phenomenon: The Report of the
Australian Royal Commission

Journal/Book Title
Year

000

°

Month/Day
Color

n

Number of Images

42

OBSOrlpton Notes

This

manuscript is a draft version of a chapter or section
from the following book: Agent Orange and its
Associated Dioxin: Assessment of a Controversy.
Young, A. L. and G. M. Reggiani, eds. New York:
Elsevier, 1988. This book is available in the NAL
collection, call no.: RA1242 T44 A3.

Tuesday, May 15,2001

Page 1501 of 1514

�XIV. "THE ROYAL COMMISSION IS THE RANKING
INVESTIGATORY AND ADVISORY BODY FOR THE NATION. IT IS
THE GUIDE TO WHATE IS AND WHAT SHOULD BE DONE; IT IS
THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE SOVEREIGN
INTENT THAT "RIGHT BE DONE""
THE AGENT ORANGE PHENOMENON;
THE REPORT OF THE AUSTRALIAN ROYAL COMMISSION

BY JOHN COOMBS QC LIB

WHY A ROYAL COMMISSION?

Australian Royal

Commissions have a long history extending back

to the time of William the Conqueror.
British Royal

Commission that

it "is the ranking investigatory

and advisory body of that country.
and what

should be done; it

Sovereign intent that

It was observed of the

It is the guide to what is

is the

implementation of the

'right be done'."l That established place

in the British Governmental

system led to the adoption by

Australia of legislation concerning Commissions and
Governments has utilised

the Royal

each of its

Commission of Inquiry from

time to time.
Such Commissions have an important role in Australian society.
They provide a mechanism

for independent and searching inquiry

separate from and unfettered by the Government of the day. It is
essential in every respect that that independence be maintained.
The Parliamentary expert, Todd, said:

"As Royal Commissions are

not directly amenable

but only

Parliament ought

to Parliament

to the

Crown,

not to interfere with their proceedings unless

�2.

It

can be

shown

that

a Commission was

acting

unfairly

or

incompetently or was in some respect unworthy of the confidence
of the Government".2

In Canada

it was

ruled

that although a Commission could be

terminated by Order-in-Council it could not be directed as to the
procedure it should follow or how it ought to interpret its terms
of

reference.3

recommended

Indeed
there

that

the Canadian
should

be

no

Law Reform
control

Commission

over

"policy

conclusions" of Royal Commissions and, further, that there should
not even be budgetary
might

think

restraint 1 There is little likelihood one

of that

recommendation being

Australian Government.

In the Australian High
and

adopted

by any

." ^LcWwA y&amp;CUA/V/ /

Court, Mr Justice Stephen (now Sir Ninian

Governor-General of Australia) said in R. v, Collins Exp.

ACTU - Solo Enterprises Ptv L.imited4 a Royal Commission's-"mode
of

conducting

its

inquiry

is

entirely unfettered

either by

statute or by executive direction".

The

reputation

fearless

that Royal

impartiality and

Commissions

enjoy

rigorous inquiry

in Australia

of

is in particular a

result of public recognition of their independence and separation
from Government.
this

The use of

independence and

blunt, the regularity

Judges as Commissioners emphasises

separation

from the Executive.

with which

Royal

Commissions

Governments and politicians enhances that reputation.

To be
bucket

�3.

Three

examples

Government
suspected
It was

spring

to mind.

appointed a Royal

The Fraser

Conservative

Commission to investigate certain

electoral irregularities in the State of Queensland.

severely embarassed when Fraser's

"Toe-Cutter"

Withers was

found to be

close advisor. Senator
the architect of some

misdeeds.

In New

South Wales

Justice Nagle

Prisons

and his

report brought

Corrective

Services after proof

inquired into the
down

conduct of

the Commissioner for

of systemised

violence against

prisoners.

The

Costigan

Royal Commission acutely

embarassed Federal

and

State Governments with its disclosures of organised crime, police
inefficiency and unexplained cash transactions in high places.

Little wonder then that the Australian people accept the findings
of Commissions
wonder

and are confident in

too that the permanent

their independence. Little

bureaucrat always advises

the

Government of the day, "Never have a Royal Commission unless your
already know the answer!"

This independence and its, at times, stubborn preservation have
led

to

the

use

of

Commissions

to solve problems tha-t

the

Government of the day wishes to distance itself fi?©»- or which are
politically too

sensitive or too complex for the executive arms

�1.

to investigate.

So it was that
charge of a

the Agent Orange

controversy was given

into he

Commissioner, the distinguished Federal Court Judge,

Mr Justice Phillip Evatt DSC

LIB, by Letters Patent dated 13 May

1335.

THE ROLE OF COUNSEL ASSISTING

I was

appointed Senior Counsel

Assisting

is

responsible

one which

one

Assisting.

I accepted

involving not

only

The

with

role of Counsel

pride.

It

is

a

the discovery, collection

collation and presentation of the evidences but also representing
the

public

interest.6

Counsel

Assisting

is completely

independent.? The independence of Counsel Assisting is important
as is his role as
separateness of
from

not

having

the eliciter of

facts.

the Commissioner and an
to "descend

into

the

It makes possible a
/\
objectivity which flows
arena"

as Mr

Justice

Ashworth put it to the Salmon Royal Commission.8

Notwithstanding

the

develops, inevitably a

independence

of Counsel

closeness to

Assisting,

the Commissioner.

there

Counsel

shares the commitment of the Commissioner to the public interest
and to the ascertainment of the truth.

He becomes confidante and

sounding board and potentially at least private critic.

�In the

last resort. In

the event of major disagreement about a

matter crucial to the terms of reference he has the right and the
duty

to make

public submissions

in an

open hearing to the

Commissioner.

Why a Royal Commission in respect of Agent Orange and its fellow
chemical agents?

Firstly, the matter was controversial.

Three

Government Departments were

directly involved, Veterans Affairs,

Health

protagonists

and Defence.

Association

The

of Australia)

(The Vietnam

CWAA3 had been vocal

Veterans
in their

dissatisfaction with the epidemiological studies put in train by
the Conservative

Government and

the findings, somewhat
Committee.9

They

vehement in their

rejection of

tentatively expressed, of a Senate Select

sought a Royal

Commission

which Labor in

opposition promised and delivered when in Government.

HAS A ROYAL COMMISSION AN APPROPRIATE FORUM?

Science

and Law are

construction
witnesses.

cases

long

term

architects

comrades.
and

In building and

engineers

are

the key

In personal injury cases medical evidence is often at

the core of the conflict.

In criminal trials forensic scientists

are crucial. The so-called toxic tort has brought toxicology and
epidemiology into
those who

the courtrooms of the world.

actually

fight

such

So it

cases, usually

is that

in Australia

barristers, strive to become familiar with scientific method and
in

particular case to learn

enough

of

the

discipline of a

�6.

particular

science

to

be

able

to

properly understand

and

adequately test the evidence of the professional scientist.

The

comradeship above

referred

to is not

surprising for

the

forensic method is truly similar to scientific method.

In scientific method observation leads to hypothesis development.
After an
tested

hypothesis is postulated, (usual

by

careful

hypothesis, or

data
fail

to

collection
to

disprove

in null form)

it is

designed to disprove
it.

If a

the

number of

investigators replicate the

result, a scientific consensus about

the

It is

hypothesis develops.

scientifically

sound if

not

necessarily final as Karl Popper is firm in reminding us.10

The forensic process begins with a statement of the protagonist's
position

similar

to

the

hypothesis

Defendant pleads his defence
trial.

The

of

the scientist.'

The

and an issue or issues presents for

protagonist leads

that

evidence

which he

feels

supports his position.

This

evidence

is

laboratory tool.

subjected

to

cross-examination,

the

legal

This process begins with a courteous insistence

upon a common language.

For example the phrase "neoplasms in the

newly born" might be used by a witness. Any cross-examiner would
insist upon a definition co-iriciding with national statistics or
at least
with like.

convertible thereto so as to
Next

permit comparison of like

the cross-examiner explores

the qualification

�7.

and

experience

of the witness

so as

to assess his or her

opportunity for observation and skill in assessing that which has
been observed.

Next the data upon which the witness relies is

explored with the witness
apparent

errors or

by

searching questioning

misconceptions put

and any

to the witness

for

explanation. Then the witness is confronted with any other data
which might be thought to be inconsistent with his conclusion, so
as

to permit him to defend

and to display that

there is no

inconsistency if he can.

The

process is rigorous:

incompetent are

the biased,

soon revealed. The

has his skill and thoroughness

the

careless and the

careful competent scientist

pointed up by proper testing. It

is also similar in both philosophy

and method to the work of the

scientist.

The defender

then calls his

evidence which is subjected to the

same process.

All this

takes place under

the control of a respected judicial

officer who forms from it, in non-jury cases, a conclusion.

I have

spent some

suggestions

that

time on the process because there have been
lawyers

were

inappropriate

people

exploring the Agent Orange, Chemical Agents question.
respectful

submission that

chosen for

they are fitted both

to be
It is my

lawyers were entirely appropriately
by training and

experience to

�8.

assess scientific issues particularly where a multi-disciplinary
approach was needed.

A WORD OF CAUTION

Karl Popper's model is rigorous only
from controlled experiments.

if based on data derived

The Agent

Orange data being human

data is, like much epidemiological data observational only.

Further,

it is said

that

one can never

Strictly ,this

is true but it can be

that

alleged effect

if any

systematic

professional

negative.

said for practical purposes

is not

search

"prove" a

detected after

there

is an

extensive

extremely high

probability that any effect is so small as to be undetectable and
this

can validly be accepted as proof of

the negative

in any

legal context.

This problem has been perceptively analysed by Sir Richard Doll,
in 1983 in The Royal Society's paper, Risk Assessment: Report of
a Study Group.

But the theoretical limitation is of only small concern.
claim
number

is, for example, that Agent
of

cancers in Vietnam

Orange has

veterans

and the

studies show no raeasureable increase then the

out.

caused a

If the
large

observational

claim is not made

�An increase in

the risk of cancer of 1 :c 10:6 in humans exposed

to 10 nanograms per kg body weight daily
quant i tat ive assessment made by

Such theoretical
individuals.

risks are

the only

WAA.

routinely disregarded by

Those who smoke heavily

assessment that

of TCDD was

almost all

disregard the statistical

the 2 pack a day man has at least

a one in 100

risk of respiratory cancer and much higher risks of emphysema and
cardiovascular disease.

I do not suggest that they are wise.

Those who ride in motor vehicles in Australia take an annual risk
of

death or

although seat

serious

maiming injury

belts arid random breath

of

one in

400 at

least,

testing are improving the

situation. These precautions reflect good epidemiology.
Alcohol risks many orders of magnitude higher than that suggested
by

Dr Schneidermann

cancer

from TCDD

for WAA

as the highest

exposure are

also routinely

level of
taken, by

risk of
me at

least and no doubt many others.

Negligible risks can be and generally are ignored.
rarely are

willing to live like

risks of madness are surely

Howard Hughes.

Men and women
If

they do the

greater than the risks of illness by

contact with negligible risks.

STANDARD OF PROOF

Unlike a scientist

the lawyer must produce a final determination

on the evidence before him.

A report must be written, a judgment

�10.

delivered

or

a verdict found.

He

or

she

is not

merely

contributing to the state of the art. Thus just as the scientist
states

the confidence

lawyer has a

limits

of his

statistical findings

the

defined standard of proof for reaching conclusions.

Such a standard applies in Royal Commissions as well as in party
and

party

litigation.

The

creates a context different

Executive

direction "to inquire"

from party and party litigation.

investigative Royal Commissions,

In

of which this was one, there is

no party who will "lose" if he fails to discharge the "onus" upon
him to prove something to some defined standard.

As

well, in such inquiries,

wide-ranging

manner and

the Tribunal

from many

produced by those given leave

informs itself

sources other

to appear.11

in a

than material

In the Evatt Inquiry

a huge

pool of background information was available in addition

to the

oral evidence and

context may suggest in

the documents tendered.

Further, the

such an inquiry that the Executive wishes

to know not only that which

is found to be probably so, but also

that which may possible be so.

It was such considerations that led Law Professor Hallett to say,
"For most inquiries it is satisfactory that the standard of proof
should be flexible".12

But to

flexible is not to say that
such

as

standard

it is irrational nor that a. Tribunal

a Commission can be
common

flexibility.
Evidence" said:

law rules.

say that the standard of proof is

guided

by

For these

anything other

than

rules have their

own

Professor Wigmore in his "Treatise on

the Law of

�11.

"In civil

cases it should be enough to

caution and

the unusual positiveness

in criminal cases

do not obtain.

further, and here

of persuasion required

But is

is customary to go

also to attempt to define in words the

quality of persuasion necessary.
of

say that the extreme

mind in which there

It is said to be that state

is felt to be a

evidence" in favour of

"preponderance of

the demandant's proposition.

Here,

too, moreover, this simple and suggestive phrase has not been
allowed

to

phrases -

suffice; and

in many

"satisfied", "convinced" and the

put forward as equivalents
words

precedents sundry

discussed

other

like - have been

and their propriety and a form of

and sanctioned

or disapproved, with

much

waste of judicial effort.13

Such a statement
the

civil

requirement.

Briginshaw v.
opinion

clearly countenances a degree of flexibility in
Dixon

J

(as he

Bricrinshaw (1938) 60 CLR 336 at

that a

state of

fact exists may

then

was) said

in

361, "No doubt an

be held

according to

infinite gradations of certainty".

The Commission
the Inquiry

adopted as its

the normal

standard of proof of

civil standard.

It required

any fact in
itself to

feel, as Dixon J. put it, "an actual persuasion of its occurrence
or existence
allegation

before it can

had to be made

satisfaction, as did

be found".14 The
out

to the

the negative

common lawyer, Dixon J. continued:

where

affirmative of an

Commission's reasonable
relevant.

The great

�2.

But reasonable
attained

or

consequence

satisfaction is not
established

of

the

seriousness of an
of an
the

a state of

independently

fact

or

facts

mind that is

of the

to

be

nature

proved.

and
The

allegation made, the inherent unlikelihood

occurrence of a

given description, or

consequences flowing

from

the gravity of

a particular

finding

are

considerations which must affect the answer

to the question

whether

the

the

issue

satisfaction of
satisfaction'
indefinite

has

been

the Tribunal.
should

not

testimony,

or

be

proved
In

to

reasonable

such matters, 'reasonable

produced by

inexact

indirect inferences.

proofs,
(Emphasis

added).15

The Commission emphatically agreed.

THE REPATRIATION CONTEXT

For many years no onus was placed on a veteran and the Australian
Government

(to speak

a

little

tribunal beyond reasonable
for granting a Repatriation
relevant outcome was made by

loosely)

had to

satisfy

the

doubt of the insufficiency of grounds
claim.16

So, where an allegation of

WAA, the Commission, if it was not

satisfied that such allegation has been proved in accordance with
the

civil

should) that

standard, observed

(when

it felt

the circumstances were such

it was able

and

that it was "satisfied

beyond reasonable doubt," that the allegation was not made out or

�.3.

that

an

allegation

was

hypothesis

to support

reasonable

doubt

accepting the

"fanciful";17

it"IS or

that

there

that
are

allegation", all

or had
it was

"no

reasonable

"satisfied beyond

insufficient

grounds

phrases chosen because

use by holders of high Judicial office or legislators.

for

of their
Criticism

of extravagant language should be evaluated in that context.19

Thus, the Commission considered that it should have regard to the
sections of the Repatriation Acts relevant to the question of the
onus

and

that

standard

of

proof

when

considering what

recommendations it might make.

RELEVANCE OF EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES

Another

important influence

or contextual

matter

bearing upon

standard of proof was the epidemiological nature of the causation
aspects of the Inquiry.
that exposure

The

case for WAA, in a nutshell, was

to chemical agents

amongst

children.

This is classically an epidemiological case.

disease

is as

those patterns.

investigation
disease and
inferrincr

you know

occurrence in human

influence

may

and

and is causing

illnesses

Epidemiology

veterans

in Vietnam has

show

birth defects

concerned

with

populations and
The results

a

statistical

of an

such

an

association

their

the patterns of
the factors

that

epidemiological

association

an exposure or risk factor.
that

amonst

between

a

The usual criteria for
is

causal

include the

�14.

following:

(a) The statistical strength of the association;

(b) The occurrence of a dose response relationship (the response
is proportional to the dose of risk factor or exposure);

(c) Observation that

a decrease in an exposure

is followed by a

decrease in the frequency of the disease;

(d) The temporal sequence of the relationship (ie the risk factor
or exposure almost always precedes the outcome or disease);

(e) The consistency or reproducibility of the association;

(f) The specificity of the association; and

(g) The biological plausibility of the association.
Support for a causal association is the stronger as more of these
criteria are met.20

The relationship of the risk factor and the disease are expressed
in a
and

number of ways:
attributable

important

By way

risk.

and that

different things

absolute risk,
That

absolute

these
risk and

is critical in

of example, the

relative risk, odds ratio,
are

different things

relative

the standard of

annual incidence of

risk are

is

very

proof context.

lung cancer amongst

�15.

white

Americans who

smoke is approximately

1 per

1000 prsons.

However, the proportion of lung cancer attributable to smoking is
close to 85%. The relative risk of developing lung cancer is 10
times

greater in smokers

than in non-smokers.21

though a white American smoker does not have
probability of

Thus, even

a 50.1% or greater

acquiring lung cancer, it is more probable than

not that an individual's smoking caused his lung cancer.

Toxic tort

litigation has

not reached proportions

in Australia

similar to those pertaining in the United States.

Accordingly,

the very difficult problems that small absolute
with

even substantially

risks combined

increased relative risks have

not yet

exercised our appellate courts.

Accordingly,
sought
civil

to apply
standard

flexible.
issue

the Commission, when deciding questions

was

the principles referred to

in respect of the

of proof, remembering that such

And in reaching
proved

to

of fact,

standard

is

a decision as to whether a particular
the

reasonable

satisfaction

of the

Commission, the epidemiological principles referred to above were
borne steadily in mind.

THE COMMISSION'S APPROACH

After

an initial and

lengthy self-education

inter alia, the collection and
relevant

literature, the

program involving,

absorbtion of the available and

Commission proposed to

the parties

�16.

hearings on aspects of the topic which were contentious and which
were appropriate to the forensic method.

These were:

Exposure
Toxicology and Health Effects, including cancer
Reproductive outcomes
Mental Health
Mortality
And a WAA presentation on Health Effects

In almost

every

topic area the

independent experts as witnesses.

Commission chose

its own

Counsel Assisting called every
&gt;//uCt/V

witness that WAA
of the

sought to have called.

These includedfcfespick

US scientists who had assisted in the preparation of the

US Agent Orange Class Action, where millions of dollars were
spent

attempting

important.
repeat

to prove the

Cries of "David

every expert witness

called and
Some thought

plaintiff's

and Goliath" have

This is

been heard.

sought to be called by WAA

I
was

at the Government's expense, through the Commission.
helpful to the WAA's position were

Commission itself, for example Dr Hardell
(The

case.

Australian

Medical Corp Chief

called by the

and Brigadier Rodgers

in Vietnam).

(Australia) Limited who appeared throughout also

Monsanto

sought to have

witnesses called on most topics and this was permitted. All were
examined and cross examined.

�17.

The Commission also went into

the laboratories and

indeed into

the very work sheets of many of the scientists who have worked in
the field, in Australia, the USA, Vietnam and in Europe, with the
total co-operation of all concerned.

Some examples of the
data

of Lennart

studies

were

association

"work in

Hardell were

the only

between

progress" are appropriate.
relied upon by WAA.

epidemiological

exposure

to

Since his

evidence supporting

phenoxy

The

herbicides

and

an
an

increased incidence of soft tissue sarcoma and malignant lymphoma
the Commission examined this very closely.

This

involved not

research and

only

examination of

the widespread publicity

the background of

his

he had received but also

careful analysis of his data case by case, and of his methods.

Dr Hardell
hours in
himself

was totally co-operative.

In San Francisco he spent

conference with Counsel Assisting
to

courteous

but

searching

and freely submitted

questioning

by

Counsel

Assisting, Counsel for Monsanto and Counsel for the Veterans.

In the

result the Commission

found the following

criticisms of

his work to be substantially made out:

(i)

The inclusion

of the data which generated

which the studies were designed to test;

the hypotheses

�18.

(ii)

Information bias as a result of:

(a)

selective

recall

by

the

prevailing

publicity and

cases
other

because

of

the

factors including

a

preliminary phone call from Dr Hardell;

(b) a difference
exposure

in the completeness of

of

cases

when

the histories of

compared

with

those

of

controls;

(c)

interviewer

bias arising

out

of the

fact that

the

interviewers knew the purpose of the various studies;

(iii) Inadequate, unsatisfactory and inaccurate exposure data;

(iv)

Methodological problems arising from:

(a) the inadequacy

of the instructions

for the telephone

interviewer;

(b) the

form of

"yes" or

the questionnaires

"no" answers and

which

required only

gave no opportunity

"don't know" reply or for explanations;

for a

�19.

(c)

the

linking

by
types

histological

the
of

results

of

sarcoma

12

different

with exposure

- an

improbable situation.

(vi)

the presence of

confounding variables for which adjustment

could not, on the available data, be made.

The Commission

felt that the studies were contrary

soundly

opinion

based

conducted

studies.

been replicated.

and the

results

of

a

to a body of

number of well

The results of Hardell's studies

have not

Accordingly, the Commission did not accept the

Hardell studies as

proving, on the balance of probabilities, any

causal association

between Soft Tissue Sarcoma

and Lymphoma and

exposure to 2,4,-D, 2,4,5-T and TCDD.

Of this
Sir

section of the

Richard Doll

Hardell's

Report the great

wrote

work with

to the

British epidemiologist
#
Commissioner, "Your review of

the additional

from

him at

interview showed many

were

exaggerated or not supportable

opportunities for bias
of his

evidence

obtained directly

of his

published statements

and

that there were many

to have been introduced in the collection

data. His claims

cannot be sustained and

in my opinion

his work should no longer be cited as scientific evidence.
clear from
2,4,5-T
reason

your review

(the phenoxy
to

animals..."

suppose

of the

published evidence of

herbicides in question)
that

they

2,4-D and

that there

are carcinogenic

in

It is

is no

laboratory

�The US Air Force made the source data of Dr Lathrop and others at
San Antonio
questioning

freely
by

both

available
Counsel

and
and

Dr

Lathrop

scientific

himself

for

consultants

for

assessment of the Ranch Hand Studies.22

The

Centre for

Disease Control

made Dr

Eriksson and

his team

available in Atlanta for analysis of the Birth Defects Study.23

In

Australia

particularly by

Dr

John

Donovan

was

searchingly

Counsel for the Veterans but

questioned

as well by Counsel

Assisting, as to the Australian Birth Defects Study.24

In every

case the quality of

the science was pointed

up by the

investigatory process. A particularly interesting example of the
way in which

flawed science can find its way

become conventional wisdom

into the media and

is provided by the Addendum to Volume

3, which I have made an annexure to my

paper.

So effective was

the forensic process that the authors of report to the Commission
(leaked to

the press and

widely publicised as

withdraw it rather than have
reading

of the

unmasking

valid) sought to

its content evaluated.
of a

piece of

I commend a

pseudo-science as

example of the mode of operation of the Commission.

an

�21.

FINDINGS

In a nutshell the Commission found:

As To Exposure,

1. Contrary

to popular

Australians,

belief only

a very

small number of

perhaps 18-30 were actually directly sprayed

with Agent Orange or other colour coded herbicides.

2. The Commission concluded that the exposure of Australians to
chemical agents did not produce dosage levels likely to cause
long term health effects.

3. Toxic doses of
(TCDD) almost

the most poisonous ingredient of Agent Orange
invariably

causes

a skin

condition called

chloracne.

4. No Australian suffered chloracne.

As to Health Effects Generally,

1. Vietnam

Veterans are

significantly

more

healthy

than

Australian males of their age.

2. They

are slightly

peers who did

more likely

than their National service

not go to Vietnam, to

suffer cardiovascular

�disease and digestive

disease, and to indulge in risk taking

behaviour.

As to Mental Hell Beincr,

1. There have been mental well-being casualties amongst veterans
of all wars.

2. Homer

describes the

Ulysses

symptoms

of

the ancient

Greek

in terms very similar to descriptions of

hero

those in

20th Century veterans.

3. After World War I the syndrome was called "shell-shock".

4. After World War II it was called "psycho" or "troppo".

5. The

group

of symptoms

suffered

includes:

Flashbacks to terrifying events;
nightmares;
irritability;
rage reaction;
dizzy spells;
anxiety;
insomnia;
depression;

by

some Vietnam

veterans

�guilt feelings;
headaches;
low back pain;
ulcer;

migraine;
irritable bowel syndrome;
irritable colon;
hypertension;
paranoia;
suspicion;
crowd phobia;

alcoholism.

6. This syndrome
there

or group of symptoms (few suffer all of them,

is usually

a

cluster

however), has been closely

observed in veterans of WW I, WW II, Korea, Malaya, and the
veterans of both sides of the middle eastern wars.

7.

It is not caused by the chemicals used in Vietnam.

8.

It is caused by stress.

9. The Vietnam

War was particularly stressful

because:

(a) It was a guerilla war without lines;

for its veterans

�14.

(t&gt;)

The enemy was hard to identify;

(c) There was

no relief from stress because any Vietnamese

could be an enemy;

(d) Women and children

were combatants and had to be killed

at times;

(e) Australia did not win;

(f) There was no welcome home: veterans were often shunned
rather than regarded as heroes;

(g) No one wanted to listen to talk about the war;

(h) It produced a sense of waste, futility and guilt.

10. The

same

natural

set of

and

symptoms

other

is often

disasters

seen

in survivors

(earthquakes,

of

floods, car

accidents, etc).

11. It is now called Post Traumatic Stress Disorder.

12. No one

needs to

response.

feel any shame

or guilt about

this normal

�As to Mortality.

1. Vietnam

veterans are

dying significantly

more

slowly than

other Australians (83%).

2. They

are

probably

dying

Servicemen who served

slightly

in the

army

faster
but who

than

National

did not

go to

Vietnam.

3. The excess (if it exists) is not caused by chemical agents.

4.

It

is

probably

behaviour,
Vietnam

caused

and in

smoking

service, or

by

an

increase

in

risk-taking

and in drinking connected

perhaps with

methods of

with

selection for

Vietnam service.

5.

Suicide rates amongst

veterans are lower than for Australian

males of the same age (about 94%).

6.

Cancer

rates

amongst

veterans

are

no

higher

than for

Australian males of the same age (about 99%).

7. There is no statistically significant excess
cancer

by comparison with

group although a

the non-veteran

of suicides or

national service

small excess of suicides by comparison with

that group cannot be excluded.

�As to Birth Defects.

1. It was

alleged

chemical agents

that

exposure

in Vietnam

to Agent Orange

or

other

had resulted in birth anomalies

amongst the offspring of Vietnam veterans.

2. Between 3% and 10% of all babies are born with some defect,
the accurate percentage
you count

depending on what you count and when

it. For example a minor

defect, an extra nipple,

is often not discovered until puberty.

3. A

study

was

done of more than

8500

infants with

birth

defects, carefully matched with the same number of controls.
The babies with birth defects were no more

likely to have a

Vietnam veteran for a father than the healthy babies.

4. No association

between length or year of service and birth

defects was found
were

(which you would expect if chemical agents

to blame, when the

same agents were not used

in all

years or times of years).

5. No excess of birth defects
found

or other untoward

outcomes were

amongst the US group most heavily exposed

Orange, the Ranch Handers themselves.

to Agent

�27.

6. No excess of birth defects or other untoward
found in a major study

outcomes were

comparing Vietnam veterans with non

veterans in Altanta Georgia, USA (The CDC Study).

7. No reliable

study shows any association

between exposure of

the father to chemicals and untoward birth outcomes.

8. Biologically

such an association

is highly

implausible and

has never been established.

9. The

hypothesis

Vietnam

caused

that exposure
birth

of fathers

defects in

to chemicals in

children conceived in

Australia is fanciful.

THE CLASS ACTION

If there

is no

connection between unfavourable

exposure

to Agent

Orange, why

did

the chemical

outcome and
companies pay

US$180M?

First

let us

examine

the

sum: 2.5 million Americans were

technically eligible members of the class not counting children
of veterans.
the chemical
and

The settlement represents less than
companies it represented an end to

to continuing

settlement sum.
of liability.

legal

costs which already

A commercial decision

$90 each.

To

the litigation
outweighed

the

rather than an admission

�28.

During legal argument as
Weinstein

said

to the fairness of the settlement Judge

to Australian

settlement was

too small,

Counsel

who

submitted that

"$180 million, $360 million,

the
$720

million they are all a lot bigger than zero Mr Lonnie".

He found that

evidence of causal connection between Agent Orange

Exposure and any ill health of veterans was lacking and that the
settlement was
available.

manifestly inadequate

After lengthy evidence

if such evidence had been
and inquiry he

settlement because he was satisfied

approved the

that such evidence was not

available.

ABE THE FINDINGS RIGHT?

They coincide with those of a Supreme Court Judge of Nova Scotia
who tried

a similar

issue.25

Broadly

speaking,

a group of

environmentalists brought action in Sydney, Nova Scotia before Mr
Justice Nunn for
herbicides by
conclusion

an injunction

restrining the use

the defendant.

that no

injunction

The

trial

Judge

was warranted.

of phenoxy
came to the

In giving his

reasons for judgment he made the following findings:

"591

I am

accepted

view of

satisfied

that the

responsible

overwhelming

currently

scientists is that there

is

little evidence that, for humans either 2,4-D or 2,4,5-T is
mutagenic or

carcinogenic and that TCBD

carcinogen, and further,

is not an effective

that there are no-effect levels and

�29.

safe

levels

for humans

and wildlife

for each of

these

substances.

593

Having reached this point it is appropriate to add that

the evidence of risk assessments clearly indicates that any
risk here in Nova Scotia, if, indeed, there is a risk at all,
is infinitesimally

small and many, many

times less than one

in a million which level, apparently, is regarded as a safe
and

acceptable risk by

agencies.

most of

the world's

regulatory

Putting this in perspective, as indicated by Dr

Wilson in his

evidence, the risk of cancer to a smoker is 1

in 800 and for a non-smoker continuously in the

same room

with smokers it is 1 in 100,000, while the risk to a person
drinking

two

litres

of water

per

day from a stream

immediately after being sprayed (which will not happen with
buffer

zones) is

1 in

100,000 million

or which

itself is

regarded as a 'de minimus' risk."

Judge Weinstein in one of the Class Actions in the USA s.aid, as
to birth defects, "Plaintiffs have
probative value

produced no evidence

to contradict the Government's

of any

overwhelming

showing of no present proof of causation" (emphasis added).26 In
a motion for summary Judgment
defendants in respect of
out of

the Class

by the US Government

those plaintiffs who had elected to opt

settlement, the

"unarguably hopeless".

and other

Judge described the

claim as

�30.

The Australian

AVHS Birth Defects

and Mortality Studies

are to

the same effect as the US studies.

The major study of the most exposed Americans, the Ranch Handers,
who conducted the

spraying reached the same conclusions as Evatt

J.27

The

Centre for

birth outcomes

Disease Control in Atlanta Georgia
of Vietnam veterans and

controls.

studied the
Their results

confirm Evatt J's findings.28

HOW COULD IT HAPPEN?

If the findings are right, and

I am confident that they are, how

did it happen?

The development

of the Agent Orange

story should be constrasted

with that of the normal epidemiological process.
progress

is often

syndrome

or set

made by
of

the

symptoms

Epidemiological

observation of a particular
and

signs

associated

with a

particular exposure leading to deduction by a trained observer of
an hypothesis of a

cause and

scientific inquiry.

It involves

effect

to be

tested by proper

a deductive leap

from a large

number of particular cases to an hypothesis for testing.

�31.

The Agent Orange
ascribed his
then

story was

One man

cancer to being sprayed with Agent Orange.

ascribed a huge range

cause

this process in reverse.

because of a wish

of other

Others

disabilities to the same

to believe, not by an

observation of

value.

In June

1977 one Maude

de Victor, a counsellor

Chicago

Office of Veterans'

Administration

telephone call from the wife of Charles Owen.
were

convinced that

which he

his cancer had been

sprayed in Vietnam.

Airforce for about 24 years.

employed in the
(US)

received a

Owen and his wife

caused by a chemical

He had been a member of the US
Shortly after his contact with Ms

de Victor, Owen died.

Ms de Victor, herself a cancer sufferer in remission, pursued Mrs
Owen's claims

to appeal following

Owen's death and

the initial

refusal of a pension.

She "called up" information from a computer terminal about cancer
victims who had served in Vietnam.

She found what seemed to her

to be

She also

a large

veterans

number of cancers.

seeking

assistance

about

closely questioned

their herbicide

exposure.

Between June and October 1977 she became convinced not only that
Owen was correct
Agent

Orange

about the

caused

a wide

cause of his

cancer but

variety of disabilities

also that
amongst

Vietnam veterans and she prompted such veterans to file claims
for compensaion, the first in October 1977.

Her "calling up"29

�32.

of cancer cases was noticed by her superiors and
neither

medically nor

individual files

in any other way qualified

since she was
to look at

for general or research purposes her order for

the files was cancelled.

This she took as evidence of a cover up

and she began a personal crusade.30 The Veterans' Administration
responded, predictably enough, by requiring medical support for
the veterans' claims.

Maude de Victor approached the local television channel and over
the next few months Bill Kurtis
called, "Agent Orange - Vietnam's
Chicago

on

coverage.

23 March

1978

put

together a documentary

Deadly Fog", first played in

and thereafter

The program was a masterpiece.

watches television has seen

evening

of the

tabling of

Every Australian who

extracts from

were used in the lead in to The National

receiving national

it. Portions

of it

Television News on the

the Evatt Report.

truth, half truth, falsehood and innuendo

Its mixture of

all in an explosive

emotional mix must, it seems, be credited, (if that is the right
word), with much

of what

flowed thereafter.

The

first human

example used in the film was that of James Simmonds.

It is clear

from the film that Simmonds was prompted by
remembering
ascribing his

that he was

de Victor both into

exposed to herbicides and also

symptoms to that exposure.

into

She gathered together

the group who appeared in the program.

The

documentary

concentrated its attention

on birth defects,

cancer and a general malady involving non-specific symptoms but

�33,

including

in many

cases

fatigue,

loss

of

libido, anxiety,

tingling of the extremities and "just not feeling
the first,

the

program failed

to mention

well".

that

As to

there is no

established case in either human beings or animals where exposure
of the
The

father to chemicals has led to deformities in children.

scientists shown

on the program

deformities in monkeys,

are

talking about

birth

rats and mice which occurred after heavy

dosing of the mothers in early pregnancy.

The

program makes a

quantum leap from massive doses in pregnant females to minuscule
doses in fathers long before conception.

That extrapolation from animal data to human beings is never more
than indicative and notoriously unreliable is not even mentioned.

As well most

cancer victims have an urge to seek out causes for

their disease.

The program

refers to tumours in rats and mice

but fails, to mention the then 30 years of uneventful use of the
components of Agent Orange in agriculture world wide, including
use by farmers world wide,

public authorities and a very large

number of ordinary gardeners.

The conclusions
omitted
people

and

Academy of Sciences

instead rumours about

unvisited by

lower than
"high

of the National

the

mountain

its Committee members, birth defect rates

those of comfortable western

incidence" and

illnesses of

Report are

unverified

cities are described as

claims of

connected with Agent Orange are emphasised.

liver cancer

ceing

The Commission found

�54.

that

for

scientists

irresponsible.
extrapolate
exposure
defects

As

from

the

the

particularly

make

such

public

statements

scientists, they roust have

of potential
in

to

pregnant

mice and

fathers to

context

was

known that

monkey data

spray, and to

totally

irresponsible because of

was
to

to the

predict birth

unscientific.
the notorious

It was
anxiety of

those who parent birth-defected children to ascribe come external
cause to the defect.

It

must

also be

borne

in mind that 'even

in

sophisticated

communities the bearing of a defective child is a matter for some
shame.

Educated middle-class parents simply don't talk about the

child who
or

with a

was born with six toes or with a supernumerary nipple
cleft palate

defective babies.
birth

which could be

corrected.

No-one has

In more primitive societies, infanticide and

concealment are

still common when defected children are

born.

On

the other hand, where

concentrate

upon birth

a group

of people have a

defects or have

wishing to assign those defects to a
very inclined to talk about them
far

a

reason to

common reason for

particular cause, they are

amongst those in the group.

as the Australian contingent is

concerned, if

As

one assumes

that it was 50,000 strong and all male, statistics would indicate
they they would father
would

expect to

3,000

with

of the order

find amonst

of 100,000 children.

these children at least

serious abnormalities.

In a

One

2,000 or

context where

such

�35.

matters are usually not even mentioned, such

a number when well

publicised could indeed look, like an epidemic.

So successful was the Kurtis film that the US National press took
up the cry and a veritable flood of Agent Orange claims produced
a predictable reaction from the Veterans' Administration (VA) in
the United States.

The

concern of

continued to
Orange theory

the press,

of veterans

the present day.

and of

Congressmen has

Studies contradicting

the Agent

have received little publicity and when publicity

is received it is almost invariably put beside outraged cries of
"white-wash" from

individual veterans or

pseudo-scientists with

an axe to grind.

In Australia no
disability was

claim of herbicide

or other

received by the Department

chemical related

of Veterans' Affairs,

Australian, prior to January 1979.

Meanwhile in

the United States,

a helicopter crew

member, Paul

Reutershan, becoming convinced by Maude de Victor that his cancer
was

linked to

the

retained Attorney
who filed

spray into

Edward Gorman

a claim for damages

which he had

flown in

of O'Hagan, Reilly
for him in New

York.

Vietnam

and Gorman,
Gorman was

not experienced in that field of civil litigation known as "toxic
torts".

The specialist in litigation against the manufacturers

and distributors of chemical substances was Victor Yannacone, who

�36.

had as early as

1966 conducted litigation leading to the banning

in Suffolk County of DDT.

The prominent Long Island Attorney was

consulted by Gorman.

After

Reutershan's death

on

14 February

1978

his friend

and

fellow Vietnam veterans, Frank McCarthy, contacted Yannacone and
urged him
McCarthy

to pursue the case on behalf
had

formed

a group

International" and as
received by this

of all Vietnam veterans.

called

"Agent

Orange

Victims

the publicity increased, so also did calls

group.

Reutershan's case as a.

Yannacone

rewrote

the pleadings

"Class Action Complaint"

in

and thereafter

travelled the United States with McCarthy.

As

tape

recordings

of his

powerful

public orator.

system,

his performances

tones reminiscent
of

veterans

To lawyers

reveal, Yannacone

is a

trained in the Australian

are nothing short

of incredible.

In

of a southern revivalist, he reeled off lists

symptoms ranging

Vietnam

speeches

from tingling

that

they

were

toes

to headaches

symptoms of

sickness."

By his

only gained

many clients but also spread

and told

"Agent

Orange

evangelism at many public meetings, he not
fear of toxic reaction

and birth deformity far and wide.

The media quoted him, McCarthy, Kurtis and anyone else who would
say something sensational.

�37.

The

Magazine, "Rolling Stone"31 and later the National

brought the myth to Australia.
sole

WAA was founded in 1979 for the

purpose of pushing the Agent Orange barrow.

founders,
newspapers

Bernard Zapiel,
and knew

Significantly

his

said

that

(later)

media

One

of its

to the Press, "I read the US

I had Agent
Repatriation

Orange

sickness".32

benefit

claim never

mentioned chemical caused illness.

How

the myth became something

"everyone knew was

disclosed by the headlines:

"AGENT ORANGE GOT ME SAYS VIETNAM VETERAN"
"SOLDIERS' BABIES DEATH AT BIRTH"
"AGENT ORANGE FATHER AN ANGRY MAN"
"AGENT ORANGE RUINED MY LIFE"
"THE AGENT ORANGE HORROR"
"LIFE HELL FOR AGENT ORANGE VICTIM"
"SPRAYING TO KILL"
"SHOCK REPORT ON AGENT ORANGE BABIES"
"ORANGE FOR DANGER. THE DEADLY JOKE"
"AGENT ORANGE CAUSE DEFORMITY"
"VETERANS TELL OF ILLNESS AND DEFORMITY"
"THE AGENT CALLED HADES"
"AGENT ORANGE VETERAN FACES LIFE OF AGONY"
"AGENTS OF DEFOMITY AND DEATH"33

true" is

�38.

A RIPOSTE

The

Report

has

conclusions.

been

criticised

for

the

firmness

of

its

How can you be so sure ask those who have read only

the summary.

One answer

is because the Commissioner can

as to cancer Dr

count.

For example,

Marvin Schneidermann came from the United States

for WAA to postulate by extrapolation from animal data a maximum
increase in the life

time risk

life-time- daily dose of

of cancer of

1 x 10-6, from a

10 nanograms per kilogram body weight of

TCDD, the most toxic ingredient of Agent
I/20th of an extra case from

Orange.

the cohort of 50,000.

This predicts
There was no

evidence that any Australian received dosage remotely approaching
this level, let alone daily for a lifetime.

As to Birth Defects, a major and highly regarded Australian Study
shows

no

increase

consistent

with

including a
effect cannot

the

major

be produced

US

studies

For

be exposing

has never been shown.

evidence of experts

effect.

in veterans

offspring.
of veterans

study of the most exposed, the Ranch

mediated response
was the

2

in risk

This

offspring

Handers.

male animals.

is

The

The male

Most convincing of all

as to biological

example sperm production

implausibility of
is continuous

and

contaminated sperm would remain

in the system of a young healthy

male for

The suggestion

effect

90 days at the

most.

through intercourse months

nonsense.

or years

of a teratogenic
later was

frankly

�39.

It has also been said that

the time since Vietnam is too short -

that latency periods preclude a negative conclusion about cancer.

The

point about

However the
was that

latency

course

claim which the Commission

there was (already) a vast

Vietnam veterans.

has some

validity.

was asked to investigate

increase in cancers amongst

There is not.34

Further, sprayers and
Orange,

period of

2,4-D and

undoubtedly exposed

other handlers of the ingredients of Agent

2,4,5-T were

investigated

and over periods

in depth.

of 30-40 years

Those

had cancer

rates within normal ranges.35

The

latency period

factor does

not undermine

the Commission's

conclusions.

Firmness

of conclusion

environment,
cautious

it

was

not only

was correct.

indicated

The

to the

less scrupulous.

social

Commission perceived

understatement by responsible

field open

by the

scientists had
Lawyers call a

that

left the
finding of

"not proven" in a clear case a resort to the "Coward's Castle" of
the onus

of proof.

His

Honour rejected cautious understatement

as a strategy and eschewed the Coward's Castle.
finding completely
standard
Report,

of proof.
let alone

justified by the
For

those

the evidence

He made a robust

evidence and on

who have
to cry

clearly not
"not proven

the proper
read the
yet", only

�40.

established that they have

been duped into believing that only a

guilty finding is OK.

Some criticism of the Commissioner himself has emerged. I think
I

should

say that he is a big man

intelligence

and command of this

remarked upon wherever we went,.
of his

in every sense.

vast

His

and complex topic were

His objectivity and the openness

mind were maintained until the pen was finally put down,

at about 2am on the 31st of July.

His

compassion, his

question.

scholarship

I will embarass him

and his

integrity are

beyond

I know, but I must say publicly

how proud I am to have been associated with him and his work.

He is a great leader and a great Judge.
Forum will

congratulate

him

I hope that this august

on his work.

He has

already

received, perhaps, the ultimate accolade. Sir Richard Doll wrote
of the Cancer Volume:

"I am sorry

only that you review has had

book form and not
much

in a scientific

less readily available

to

to be published in

journal as books
scientists.

are so

I am sure

however, that it will be widely quoted and it will come to be
regarded as definitive work on the subject".

All fairminded critics who read the whole report will agree.

�41.

FOOTNOTES

1. Hanser Guide to Decision: The Royal Commission (1965) Preface
IX.
2. Todd's Parliamentary Government in England by Spencer Walpole
quoted in WA Parliament debate 3/12/47, 2345,46 (1979).
3. (1979) 94 DLR 365 at 370.
4. 8 ALR 691 at 699.

5. Sir Charles
386, 387.
6.

Lowe, The Commissioner, Royal

Commission 24 ALJ

cf eg Queen's Memorial Infectious Diseases Hospital Inquiry
(1913) Report 3, The Gas Board Inquiry (1912) Report, V).

7. cf The Beach Police Inquiry (1975) Transcript p 71/72.
8. Gt Britain, "Documentary Evidence
Commission on Tribunals of Inquiry".

Received by

9. Senate Select Committee on Science and the
Pesticides and the Health of Vietnam Veterans.
10. 1976 Fontana Paperbacks, Sir
London.

Karl Popper,

the

Royal

Environment.

William Collins,

11. See The Bread Industry Commission Report 1949, pp 5-6.
12. Hallett, L R. Royal Commissions and Boards of Enquiry, Some
Legal and Procedural Aspects, The Law Book Company Limited,
Sydney, 1982, p 164.
13. Wigmore, "Treatise on the Law of Evidence" 2nd Ed. (1923) Vol
5, Section 2498.
14. Bricrinshaw v Bricrinshaw (1938) 60 CLR 336 at 361.
15. ibid, at p 362
16. See s. 47 of the Repatriation Act 1920, as amended in 1977.
17. The Repatriation Commission
Murphy J. at p 640.

v. Law (1981)

174 CLR

635 per

18. O'Brien's case (supra) per Brennan J at p 369.
19. ibid per Gibbs CJ, Wilson and Dawson JJ at pp 367.
20. Evans Prof A.S. Causation and Disease 49 Yale
and Medicine 1976 pp 175-195.

J.

Biology

�42.

21. Doll and Peto JNCI Vol 66 No. 6 June 1981 pp 1193-1308.
22. See footnote 27.
23. Eriksson et al 1984
24. Donovan et al 1983.
25. Palmer et
271.

al v

Nova Scotia

Forest Industry 60

N.S.R. (2d)

26. Ford v United States CV-79-747.
27. Ranch Hand I &amp; II, US Mortality Study Report and US Air
Force, An Epidemiological Investigation of Health Effects in
Air Force Personnel After Exposure to Herbicides - Baseline
Morbidity 24/2/84.
28. Eriksson et al, Vietnam Veterans Risks
with Birth Defects.
29. By which
system.

is meant seeking

of information from

30. Personal Communication to
1984, Victor Yannacone.
31.

August 1978 "The Poison
Legacy" by Edward Kohn.

for Fathering Babies

Senior
Harvest:

the computer

Counsel Assisting,
Agent Orange,

March

A Vietnam

32. Heidelberg "Voice" 25.4.79.
33. Report Chapter I, p 47.
34. cf footnote 27 and Greenwald et al 1985, Kogan et al 1985.
35. Victorian Sprayers, Department of Conservation 1985, Smith et
al (New Zealand Applicators) 1982-83.

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