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                  <text>&lt;p style="margin-top: -1em; line-height: 1.2em;"&gt;The Alvin L. Young Collection on Agent Orange comprises 120 linear feet and spans the late 1800s to 2005; however, the bulk of the coverage is from the 1960s to the 1980s and there are many undated items. The collection was donated to Special Collections of the National Agricultural Library in 1985 by Dr. Alvin L. Young (1942- ). Dr. Young developed the collection as he conducted extensive research on the military defoliant Agent Orange. The collection is in good condition and includes letters, memoranda, books, reports, press releases, journal and newspaper clippings, field logs and notebooks, newsletters, maps, booklets and pamphlets, photographs, memorabilia, and audiotapes of an interview with Dr. Young.&lt;/p&gt;&#13;
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                <text>Letter: from Ellen K. Silbergeld to Robert Huffaker, January 25, 1983</text>
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                    <text>Rom D Number

0229

Author

Silbergeld, Ellen K.

°

Corporate Author
Rnnnrt/Artlnln Tltta Typescript: Affidavit of Ellen K. Silbergeld, November
M
14, [1984]

Journal/Book Title
Year
Month/Day
Color
Number of Images

D

5

Descriptor) Notes

Thursday, September 20, 2001

Page 2290 of 2293

�AFFIDAVIT OF ELLEN K. SILBERGELD

Comes now Dr. Ellen K. Silbergeld who states as follows
under penalty of perjury:
1. In this Agent Orange litigation, I have previously had
the following involvement. I have prepared and reviewed an expert
summary which was filed with the Court concerning the substance of
my proposed testimony and certain supplements thereto.
a deposition in New York City on March 18 and 19, 1984.

I have given
I have also

prepared a 13 page affidavit which was an exhibit to Opt-Out Plaintiffs' Opposition to Defendants' Motion to Dismiss, or in the Alteri
native, for Summary Judgment. I wish to incorporate those statements,
testimony and affidavit by reference.

The matters set forth there-

in are all true and correct to the best of my personal knowledge.
2.

I understand that the primary focus of the government's

motion to dismiss is in the area of reproductive toxicity. This is
my particular field of specialization as a scientist, and I have devoted substantial professional time and effort in the area of the
reproductive toxicity of polycyclic halogenated hydrocarbons, of
which dioxin is a member.
3. Epidemiological/statistical evidence is related to the
understanding of facts in the case of an individual to the extent
that it can be demonstrated that the individual shares the characteristics (and exposures) of the epidemiological group (cohort) for
which the statistical evidence was derived.

This is the case in all

issues of medicine and science, and hence all such issues share this
common characteristic.

�4.

The criteria first enunciated by Bradford Hill for

determining the acceptability of epidemiological data are (1) replication, (2) strength of association, (3) temporal relationship,
(4) specificity, and (5) biological plausibility. Using these criteria as guides, it can be posited, based upon the data known and
available to date, that Agent Orange causes the diseases and effects
alleged by plaintiffs, particularly with respect to birth defects.
5.

In the area of replicability, there are as yet relative-

ly few studies.

However, it is worth noting that data from Seveso

(Bisanti, in press) are consistent with the CDC 1984 study and with
the Ranch Hand study.

All three studies report increases in certain

birth defects, notably minor malformations (including hemangiomas)-,
spina bifida, and cleft palate.

The Australian study is not apparent-

ly consistent with these findings; however, there was no attempt by
the Australian study to determine likelihood or intensity of dose,
so that it is very likely (based upon information from the Royal
Commission) that unexposed veterans were included in the exposed
group.

This would render any conclusions reached by the Donovon

study suspect and weak.

There also appears to be an excess of neo-

natal deaths reported in both the Ranch Hand, CDC, and Serveso
data.
6.

In the area of strength of association, there is not

presently a great deal of reliable information due to the absence
of quantifiable exposure data.

In the occupational studies, there is

insufficient evidence as to dose, incomplete collection of subjects
(Dow study), or insufficient numbers (Czech study; Seveso; Nitro

-2-

�study).

Strength of association is usually demonstrated as a func-

tion of dose response relationships.

There is some qualitative evi-

dence for dose response in the CDC study, but the absence of quantifiable exposure data is a definite obstacle here.
7.

In the area of temporal relationship, there is again

little data, but, what data there is from the Ranch Hand study, from
the CDC study and from some of the Seveso data are consistent with
temporal logic. The Ranch Hand II study looked at some veterans
before and after Southeast Asian service.

In this group, it could

be seen that there was an increase in the incidence of several malemediated reproductive effects, including anomalies.

The Seveso

study has also reported an increase in hemangiomas after the exploi
sion, an increase which has now been reversed after the passage of
additional time. (Bisanti).

The CDC study remarked, but did not de-

tial, that,in exposed veterans' families, there was a much higher
incidence of more than one child with a birth defect.
8.

In the area of specificity, there exists some of the

strongest reproductive toxicity data, although it has not been appreciated. No study has found that Agent Orange or dioxin exposure
in other circumstances increases the rate of all birth defects or
all types of reproductive toxicity.

Instead, the positive studies

(noted above) have found increases in only a few types of defects.
This is strongly suggestive of specificity and of a specific toxic
agent.
9.

In the area of biological plausibility, there is sub-

stantial evidence for male-mediated birth defects, miscarriages, toxic

-3-

�exposures, and other unfavorable outcomes expressed in children.
Dr. F. Stanley's statement for the Austrailian Royal Commission discusses such hypotheses in considerable detail. These include (1)
gametotoxic effects, (2) genetic effects, and (3) secretion of dioxin in seminal fluid. While this

latter possibility is dismissed

by Dr. Stein in her affidavit, it is known that lead can be secreted in seminal fluid, and Robaire's group at McGill is studying the
effects of seminal fluid cytostatic drugs on pregnancy outcome.

One

of the positive findings of the CDC study is of particular importance here:

the increase in childhood cancer in children of the .

exposed veterans.

Male exposures (occupational) have been demon-,

strated to be associated with increases in childhood cancers (Kantor,
and others).

To my knowledge, no other study has looked for child-

hood cancer specifically, although in Ranch Hand II the causes of
neonatal deaths are not described, the similarity between it and the
CDC study in this regard is striking.
10. Thus, looking purely at epidemiologic criteria, it can
be said that the two major United States studies of Vietnam veterans
document and add to the growing body of knowledge that dioxin exposure can and did cause adverse reproductive outcomes.

It is true

that there are gaps in our knowledge, but those gaps do not present
obstacles to the formulation of reasonably-based scientific opinions
on causation.

The major gaps are in the areas of strength of asso-

ciation and temporal relationship.
below.

-4-

The reasons for this, I address

�11.

As I noted above, there are frustrating gaps in our

scientific knowledge of the reproductive toxicity of dioxin.

Those

gaps are due to the failure to determine, monitor and record for posterity the amount of exposure of individual veterans at the time of
exposure.

The gaps are also due to the failure to test the exposed

servicemen for the presence of dioxin or its effects in their bodies
at and/or shortly after the time of their exposure, the failure to
keep meaningful medical records of post exposure symptoms, signs,
conditions, illnesses and diseases, and the failure to test the
Agent Orange product in animals and other lower forms of life prior
to spraying.
12.

Those failures to obtain and record pertinent data -

doomed scientific analysis to uncertainty and inconclusiveness in '
large part.

It is only by testing epidemiologically for specific

outcomes based upon refined exposure data that cause and effect relationships can be elucidated clearly.

The absence of such data here,

however, does not prevent the formulation of reliable, validly-based
scientific opinion as to causation ; it only makes the testing of such
hypotheses and the interpretation of available data more difficult.
13.

Nonetheless, the fact remains that there is reasonable

scientific data available upon which to formulate a valid opinion
that dioxin was the cause of adverse reproductive outcomes in children of servicemen exposed to it in Vietnam.

Ellen K. Silbergeld*
ELLEN K. SILBERGELD
*Dr. Silbergeld is presently out of the country as this
typed in final form (11/14). It was read to her in its
the evening of 11/13 and she approved it. The original
to her for signature and delivery to the Court upon her
this country.
_5_

affidavit is
entirety on
will be sent
return to

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&lt;p&gt;For more about this collection, &lt;a href="/exhibits/speccoll/exhibits/show/alvin-l--young-collection-on-a"&gt;view the Agent Orange Exhibit.&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</text>
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