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                    <text>Item D Number

0193

Author

rott M J

°

Corporate Author
ROpOrt/ArtlOlO TltlB Australian Veterans Health Studies: Morbidity Study:
Protocol for a Morbidity Survey of Vietnam Veterans
and Controls

Journal/Book Title
Year

1982

Month/Day

December 13

Color
Number of Images

12

DeSCriptOU NotBS

Cover sheet says, "A protocol was prepared for this study,
but it was never carried out. The protocol is attached, and is
a public document."

°

Thursday July 26, 2001

Pago 1930 of 1957

�Australian Veterans Health Studies
Morbidity Study
A protocol was prepared for this study, but it was
never carried out. The protocol is attached, and is a public
document.

�PROTOCOL FOR A MORBIDITY SURVEY OF

VIETNAM VETERANS AND CONTROLS

Written by:
Dr M.J. Fett
MB, BS (Hons), B Med Sc (Hons), MFH

Consultant:
Dr J.D. Mathews
MD, BS, FRACP, PhD

Director of Studies:
Professor R.J. Walsh
MB, BS, FRACP, FRCPA, FAA

Date:
13 December 1982

�Ac k i iow ] c no front s

The following people have provided specialist advice and information in their
respective fields:

Piof&lt;:.;or G. Andrews

-

Psychiatry

Dr S. Henderson

-

Psychiatry

Profersor R. Kalucy

-

Psychiatry

Professor J. McLeod

- Neurology

Dr C. Smith

-

Associate Professor C. Tennant

- Psychiatry

Dr K. Kalsh

- Neuropsychology

Professor Khitrod

-

Hepatology

Psychiatry

Many AVHS staff members have made contributions to this protocol. Among them
are Drs A. Long, G. Nairn, E. Harding, B. O'Toole, Mr C. Fung, Mr I. Adams,
Mr N. Kendrick and Ms J. Busby.

This protocol was typed by Mrs J. Charles, Mrs S. Foster and Miss A. Micallef.

�TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page
J.

SUMMARY
1.1

1

Rationale for this Study of Morbidity
Descriptive Hypotheses to be Tested

1
2

1.4

Summary of Study Design

3

1.5
1.6
2.

Background

1.2
1.3

Cancer Morbidity to be a Separate Study
Relationship to Other Studies

3
4

PACKGROUND TO PROBLEM

5

2.1

Stimulus to Study

5

2.2

Possible Effects of Phenoxy Herbicides and

2.3
2.4

3.

Related Subr-tances
Corlist Syndrome and Other Psychosocial Effects of
War Service
Effects Related to Specific Concomitants of War
Service

5
10
13

BACKGROUND TO STUDY DESIGN

15

3.1
3.2
3.3

15
15

3.4

Rationale for Study of Former National Servicemen
Enlistment and Training of National Servicemen
Factors Influencing Selection of National
Servicemen for Vietnam Service
Comparability of Veteran and Non-veteran National
Servicemen

3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8

Duration of National Service in the Army
National Service Intakes
Sources of National Service Cohort Data Base
Verifying the Completeness of National Service

3.9

Determining the Accuracy of the National Service
Cohort
Rationale for Morbidity Study Subjects Being a
Subset of Mortality Study Subjects
Rationale for Subjects being N.S.W. Enlistees Only
Subject Selection
Obtaining Subject Addresses
Areas to be Investigated
Implications of Pilot Study Results
Rationale- for Using MEDICHECK Health Screening Centre
Rationale for Method of Measuring Morbidity
Physician Assessment
Rationale for Number of Subjects
Index of Herbicide Exposure
Index of Combat Exposure
Army Dossier Data Held on Each Subject

Cohort

3.10
3.11
3.12
3.13
3.14
3.15
3.16
3.27
3.18
3.19
3.20
3.21
3.22

16
19

20
21
21
23

24
24
25
27
28
29
31
32
34
42
44
47
49
50

�Page
4.

STUDY PROTOCOL

54

4.1
4.2
4.3

55
56
59

4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
4.10

5.

Subject Selection
Obtaining Current Address
Methods of Obtaining Compliance for Medical
Examination
Outline of Design of Medical Examination
Design of Examination Procedure for Subjects
Information from Wife/Female Partner
Follow-up of Non-Complying Subjects
Follow-up of Non-Complying Wives/Female Partners
Pilot Testing of Medical Examination
Verifying Data in Medical Records

61
63
70
73
76
77
78

79

5.1
5.2
5.3

6.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION FROM ARMY SOURCES

79
79
80

CARD Dossier
Central Medical Record
Psychology Record Cards

'

DATA ASSESSMENT AND ANALYSIS

81

6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4
6.5

81
82
91
93
97

Data Acquisition and Verification
Adequacy and Utility of Morbidity Study Data
Hypotheses to be Tested
Outcome Measures to be Used
Principles of Statistical Analysis

References

APPENDIX 1:
APPENDIX 2:

105

SPECIFIC HYPOTHESES AND POWER CALCULATIONS
PULHEEMS ARMY HEALTH RATING

�1.

PUKVARY

1.1

Background^

At the request of the Commonwealth Department of Veterans' Affairs, a study
group was established in January 1980 to investigate the suggestion that
herbicide exposure in Vietnam was responsible for health problems reported by
Vietnam veterans and their families.

The investigations, initially known as "Australian Veterans Herbicide
Studies", are administered by the Commonwealth Institute of Health. In
October 1981, the terms of reference were widened to include all disabilities
related to Vietnam service, and not just those which might be due to herbicide
expor.ure.

In May 1982, the study group was renamed the "Australian Veterans

Health Studies" (AVHS).

1.2

Rationale for This Study of Morbidity

Comments from Vietnam veteran groups have led to suggestions that there is an
increased illness rate among veterans, particularly in the following

areas:

psychological health, behaviour, liver, gastrointestinal system, skin and
neurological system.

There have also been claims of an increased incidence of

cancer amongst veterans, and of marital and reproductive problems affecting
veterans and their wives and offspring.

The rationale for this study is to use information on current health and past
medical treatment of veterans and their wives to test some of these claims.
To achieve this it is proposed to follow-up and examine medically 5,000 former
national servicemen who enlisted in NSW (3,000 veterans, 2,000 controls) and
obtain reproductive histories from their wives/female partners. The results
will be assessed to see whether the disabilities for veterans are more
frequent than for national servicemen who did not go to Vietnam (controls).

�In the event that, disabilities are more frequently found in veterans than in
controls, additional data will be analysed to decide whether the excess
disabilities are best explained in terms of the physical or social sequelae of
combat stress, and/or in terms of herbicide exposure and/or in terms of
individual differences which antedated the Vietnam experience (See Sec 3.4) .

The rationale for restricting this study to national servicemen is explained
in detail in Sec 3.1.

1.3

E^c.rJp.VLY? Hypotheses to be Tested

The null hypothesis is that there is no difference in the frequency of
disabilities between Vietnam veterans and controls (national servicemen who
did not go to Vietnam) . This null hypotheses will be tested against each of
the following alternative hypotheses:

(i)

That social and behavioural disabilities (unemployment, separation,
divorce, motor accidents, alcohol abuse) are more frequent in veterans
than in controls.

(ii)

That anxiety, depression and other psychiatric disabilities are more
frequent in veterans than in controls.

(iii)

That disorders of the nervous system (including neuropsychological
disorders) are more frequent in veterans than controls.

(iv)

That liver disorders are more frequent in veterans than controls.

(v)

That gastro-intestinal disorders are more frequent in veterans than
controls.

(vi)

That skin disorders are more frequent in veterans than controls.

(vii)

That infertility, miscarriage or death or disability of children have
been more frequent in the families of veterans than in the families of
controls.

�1.4

FuTu-nary of _Study _p_esiqn

Veterans and controls will be former national servicemen who enlisted in those
intakes from which veterans were chosen (from June 1965 to February 1971), who
served at lear.t 13 weeks, and who were discharged alive or survived for 2
years after enlistment.

,

From the group of former national servicemen who enlisted in N.S.W., 3,000
veterans and 2,000 controls will attend a central examination site in Sydney.
The medical examination will consist of an in-depth medical questionnaire,
neuropsychialric testing, biochemical testing of blood and urine, and physical
examination and health assessment by a doctor.

Following this examination,

certain subjects will undergo more detailed psychiatric and

neuropsychological

assessment (see Figure 1, chapter 4).

Any subject with illness requiring treatment or urgent investigation will be
referred back to his local doctor.

Any subject with a suspected disability

which requires further investigation for research purposes will be referred to
an appropriate specialist, either immediately (option A) or after interim data
analysis (option B).

The wives of veteran and control subjects will be interviewed, to seek
information about the health of any children of the subject, and about the
outcome of all pregancies.

1.5

Cancer Morbidity Not Addressed by This Study

This morbidity survey is not ideally suited to examining the incidence of
cancer (see section 3.19) .

�1.6

Kplat KMiship to Other Studies

Separate studies have investigated the relationship of Vietnam service to
birth defects in offspring (Case-Control Study of Congenital Anomalies and
Vietnam Service), and are investigating mortality (Retrospective Mortality
Study of Vietnam Veterans and Controls Revised Protocol).

�2-

BACKGROUND^ TO PROBLEM

2.1

St_im_u 1 u r, Jto_St udy

In 1979 Vietnam veteran groups reported that there was an excess of veteran
morbidity due to gastrointestinal, neurologic, skin and psychiatric disability
and cancer, above that expected in a group of previously healthy young men.
This supposed excess was attributed, by some veterans, to exposure to Agent
Orange herbicide during Vietnam war service.

Health effects other than

morbidity are addressed in other documents (Case-Control Study of Congenital
Anomalies and Vietnam Service Report, Mortality Study protocol).

While the claimed effects of Agent Orange have yet to be substantiated, it has
become apparent that several other environmental exposures, both in Vietnam
and back in Australia, could be causally related to any increase in disability
f

in veterans.

Among these exposures are non-phenoxy herbicides (e.g. cacodylic acid),
insecticides, infectious tropical diseases and malaria prophylaxis,
experiences of social dislocation and warfare, alcohol, tobacco and other drug
consumption, and the experiences of homecoming, readjustment and
re-establishing a satisfactory life style (Boman, 1982).

2.2

Possible Effects of Phenoxy Herbicides and Related Substances
2.2.1

General Literature Review

The 'Review of Literature on Herbicides, Including Phenoxy Herbicides
and Associated Dioxins1, (U.S. Veterans Administration 1981)
summarises the known and suspected health effects of herbicides, and
the gaps in current knowledge.
study of Vietnam veterans are:

Points of relevance to a morbidity

�TCDD (Dioxin)

o

TCDD has been an important contaminant of 2,4,5-Tr and it has
not always been possible to distinguish between the effects of
the two substances.

o

Chloracne is the most consistently reported health effect of
TCDD exposure in huir.ans.

o

Neurasthenia, a series of subjective complaints including
irritability, fatigue and insomnia, has been reported after
many industrial accidents and exposures,

o

Other neurological disorders (as peripheral neuritis) and
hepatic disorders (as hepatomegaly) have been reported after
several of the exposure incidents.

o

Porphyria cutanea tarda and gastrointestinal problems have not
been commonly reported and seem to be associated with
long-term exposure.

o

TCDD is a limited cumulative toxicant; cumulative effects of
doses administered within a month of each other have been
observed in animals, but not for doses administered beyond
about one month,

o

The subacute effects of TCDD are porphyria and depletion of
blood cells; these effects are not observed after acute doses,

o

In animal studies TCDD appears to act secondarily or
indirectly in enhancing the carcinogenicity of other
components (usually unidentified).

2,4-D, 2,4,5-T
o

Both 2,4-D and 2,4,5-T are cleared rapidly from the blood
after they are absorbed, with half-times for plasma clearance
in humans of 12-23 hours.

�o

Neither 2,4-D nor 2,4,5-T has been shown to accumulate in
animal fat.

o

2,4-D and 2,4,5-T are not cumulative toxicants.

o

In animals the cause of death from lethal doses of 2,4-D or
2,4,5-T is unknown; both compounds produce several
non-specific effects, such as mild weight loss.

o

2,4-D produces neurotoxicity in humans and animals, and
2,4,5-T produces neurotoxicity in animals.

o

Animal studies have not produced conclusive evidence that
2,4-D, 2,4,5-T, cacodylic acid or picloram are carcinogenic.

o

The effects of acute exposure to 2,4,5-T in humans are unknown.

o

There is no positive information on the carcinogenic potential
in humans of diquat, diuron, dalapon, bromacil, picloram, and
tandex and on 2,4-D, 2,4,5-T, or TCDD, (except in the case of
concomitant exposure to trichlorophenol or other herbicides).

IARC Monographs on the Evaluation of the Carcinogenic Risk of
Chemicals to Kan:

Volume 15 gives the following effects of TCDD,

2,4-D and 2,4,5-T as having been described in humans:

TCPD

chloracne
porphyria cutanea tarda
hyperpigmentation and hirsutism
liver damage
raised serum hepatic enzyme levels
disorders of fat metabolism
disorders of carbohydrate metabolism
cardiovascular disorders

�urinary tract disorders
respiratory disorders
pancreatic disorders
polyneuropathies

lower extremity weakness
scnr.orial impairment (sight, hearing, smell, taste)
neurasthenic or depressive syndromes

2,4-D

hyperthermia and tachycardia
nausea, vomiting, diarrhoea
anorexia and gastralgia
increased salivation
sweet taste in the mouth
abdominal pain
fatigue, malaise
headache
sensation of drunkenness
peripheral neuropathy
paralysis
somnolence
muscular weakness, twitching
skeletal muscle damage
severe leg pains
joint swelling
increased blood cholesterol
abnormal serum protein

�chloracne
liver disorders
neurological changes
behavioural changes
fat metabolism disorders

signs of porphyria cutanea tarda
gastrointestinal symptoms
headache
hypomania
neurasthenic syndrome

The effects listed have generally been observed in subjects after
recent chemical exposure, and the pattern of effects varies between
reports.

2.2.2

Possibility of Carcinogenic Risk in Man

Soft-tissue sarcoma and lymphoma are suspect as outcomes of exposure
to phenoxy herbicides or associated substances (Hardell and Sanstrom,
1979). The work of Hardell has received some support from reports of
at least four cases of soft-tissue sarcoma which have occured in
workers involved in the manufacture of phenoxy-herbicides (Hardell and
Ericksson, 1981; Honchat and Halperin, 1981). Several other studies
of the effects of herbicides on cancer mortality have failed to
demonstrate an effect (Axelson and Sundell, 1974; Riihimaki et al,
1978) and no excess mortality has been demonstrated following the 1976
Seveso dioxin disaster (Regianni, 1980), although the latent period is
short.

�2.3

?f?:Tll''?t._?ynF'?c?TTic!!:. ^nj-LPth.?1 Psychospcijl Effects of War Service

There are no published epideroiologic studies of the effects of Vietnam service
on the psychological adjustment of Australian soldiers, nor on their
subsequent readjustment to civilian life; however, literature indicates three
main areas of psychopathology in U.S. veterans: post traumatic stress
disorder; depression; alcohol and substance abuse disorder (review by Boman,
1982; symptoms after DSM III).

2.3.1

?9.st..~?.r_fiu!!!ati5: Stress Disorder
Symptoms:
Re-experiencing of the trauma;
numbing of responses to or reduced involvment with the
external world;
hyperalertness, sleep disturbance, guilt about surviving;
memory impairment or trouble concentrating.

2.3.2

Depression of various types
Symptoms:
Anorexia, weight loss or gain, increased appetite;
sleep disturbance, psychomotor agitation or retardation;
feelings of worthlessness;
loss of interest, loss of energy, fatigue;
complaints or evidence of decreased ability to think;
recurrent thought of death or suicide;
suicide attempt.

2.3.3

Alcohol and Substance Use Disorder
Symptoms:
Alcohol or drug consumption causing impairment in social or
occupational function, with or without tolerance or withdrawal.
10

�2.3.4

Othc- r_ Psy chospci a 1_ Disorders

Three other classes of disorder seem possible in view of media reports
of the health of Australian Vietnam veterans.

These are:

anxiety disorders; adjustment disorder with anxious mood; somatization
disorder (symptoms again taken from DSM III).

Anxiety Disorders
Symptoms:
apprehension, fear or terror;
dyspnoea, palpitations, chest pain or discomfort;
choking or smothering sensation;
dizziness, vertigo or unsteady feelings;
feelings of unreality, paraesthesias, hot and cold flushes;
sweating, faintness, trembling or shaking;
fear of dying, going crazy or doing something uncontrollable.

Adjustment Disorder with Anxious Mood
Symptoms:
as for anxiety disorder, with nervousness, worry or jitteriness
predominating.

Somatization Disorder
Symptoms:
Sickly: Believes that he or she has been sickly for a good
part of his or her life.

Conversion or pseudoneurological symptoms: Difficulty
swallowing, loss of voice, deafness, double vision, blurred

11

�visionf blindness, fainting or loss of consciousness, memory
loss, seizures or convulsions, trouble walking, paralysis or
muscle weakness, urinary retention or difficulty urinating.

Gastrointestinal symptoms: Abdominal pain, nausea, vomiting
spells, bloating (gassy), intolerance (e.g. gets sick) of a
variety of foods, diarrhoea.

Psychosexual symptoms:

For the major part of the individual's

life after opportunities for sexual activity:

Sexual

indifference, lack of pleasure during intercourse, pain during
intercourse.

Pain: Pain in back, joints, extremities, genital area (other
than during intercourse); pain on urination; other pain (other
than headaches).

Cardiopulmonary symptoms: Shortness of breath, palpitations,
chest pain, dizziness.

Other psychiatric abnormalities may occur, but the number of affected
individuals will probably be very small.

12

�2.4

Ii(f_e.£tE_Rc3at_ed _to_Sppci_f ic Con corn Habits of War Service
2.4.1

Alcohol Use

Because of combat stress and the social changes consequent on Vietnam
service, it is likely that the consumption of alcohol by Vietnam
veterans will prove to be higher than that in non-veterans.

This

would lead us to expect that there could be a greater incidence of
alcohol related disability in veterans than in controls, as has been
reported in other army and veteran populations (Mathews 1976).

It is also necessary to consider the possibility that some of the
personal qualities which are associated with being a "good soldier"
(e.g. vigour, initiative, aggression) may show an intrinsic (genetic)
correlation with the propensity to drink more alcohol (Mathews,
1981) . if this were the case, then any association of alcohol use
with veteran status could be partly consequent on the processes of
veteran selection.

It will be possible to test this hypothesis in the

morbidity study, as data on alcohol consumption will be collected from
subjects.

2.4.2

Cigarette Smoking and Other Drugs

Similar considerations apply to cigarette consumption. A particular
attempt will also be made to identify any morbidity which could be
attributable to illicit drug usage.

2.4.3

Infectious Diseases

It is likely that Vietnam veterans have been at greater risk of
several infectious diseases (e.g. malaria, hepatitis, melioidosis,
strongyloidiasis), although there is no specific evidence to suggest
that this has contributed to any disability in the post-Vietnam period.

13

�Tuberculosis might also be more prevalent in veterans, because of the
greater exposure in Vietnam, and the greater susceptibility associated
with a history of social disintegration and alcohol abuse. However,
because of the efficacy of treatment, it is unlikely that there will
be any subjects with tuberculosis.

Because of the social dislocation of the war experience, venereal
disease may also be more prevalent in veteran than in control cohorts.

14

�3

-

3• *

J^CKJSROUND TO ST_IJDY_ DESIGN

Rationale for Study of Former Kational Servicemen

In studying the effect of Vietnam service on subsequent risk of disability, a
group of subjects who served in Vietnam (veterans) is required, along with a
comparison group of subjects who did not serve in Vietnam (controls). The
veterans and controls should have been as similar as possible at the point in
time at which the veterans departed for Vietnam. Specifically, the
distribution of age, health status and socio-economic status (SES) should be
similar between veterans and controls.

Former national servicemen are considered to form a group most closely
satisfying these requirements and consequently the study will be restricted to
this group. At present it is considered that it would be too difficult to
*

define an appropriate control group for those Vietnam veterans who were in the
regular army.

If further investigation were to be performed, it may prove

feasible to identify acceptable groups of veterans and controls among the
regulars, but even so it would still be highly desirable to perform the study
with national servicemen for two reasons:

firstly, national service veteran

and control groups would, in all probability, still be more comparable than
groups of regulars, and secondly, within regulars the health effects of
Vietnam service could be obscurred by the deleterious health effects of
peace-time army service (see above).

3.2

Enjy.?j-!n±nt_A"d Training of National Servicemen

Nineteen year old Australian males were required to register for national
service (National Service Act 1957-1971), and those with birth dates selected
by ballot were required to present for medical examination and interview by
the Department of Labour and National Service.

15

Those accepted were required

�to enlist in the army within the next few months, unless deferrment
(educational, medical reasons) or exemption (clergyman, conscientious
objector) was obtained. Then followed an enlistment medical examination.
Some men volunteered for national service independent of the ballot. They had
to reach the same medical standard as ballotees.

These men can only be

identified by examination of individual, dossiers.

After enlistment followed 10 to 12 weeks of recruit training, then allocation
to corps and 12 weeks Initial Employment (corps) training (except Infantry).
The member was then posted to his service unit.

Generally, between 6 months and 1 year after enlistment the veterans were sent
to Vietnam for a 1 year tour of duty .
»

3.3

Factors Influencing Selection of National Servicemen for Vietnam
Service

Selection for Vietnam service was based on whether an individual had been
allocated to a unit which was subsequently selected for Vietnam service.

Very few if any national servicemen were prevented from serving in Vietnam for
medical conditions and the interval between enlistment and posting to Vietnam
(less than 1 year) was insufficient for life-threatening conditions to develop
in a significant number of national servicemen which would result in exclusion
from Vietnam service.

Many factors influenced the selection of a national serviceman for service in
Vietnam. Those currently known to the Study Team are as follows:

16

�a)

Indi_y ijdua 1^ Soldi^e£_E__I_nf luence
Completing form NS24, giving details of education, special skills and

t r a i n i ng.

Completion of a "dream sheet1 which recorded desires to serve in
particular corps.

It is believed that in a considerable proportion of

cases these preferences were recorded on the psychology record cards,
which are available. It is thought to have been common knowledge
which units were going to Vietnam in the next couple of years, and
therefore a national serviceman could steer himself toward a corps
which was more or less likely to be sent to Vietnam. Additionally,
the field corps (Artillery, Armoured, Infantry, Engineers, Signals)
were known to be the most dangerous.

Volunteering for a reinforcement unit.

Expressing a desire to serve in Vietnam.

Performing in a sufficiently unsatisfactory manner so as to be
regarded as unsuitable for Vietnam service.

A fear of combat, or conscientious objection to the Vietnam war or
combat.

Lack of physical fitness becoming apparent during basic training but
not necessitating discharge; lack of psychological fitness for combat
service, as evident on enlistment testing or as determined by his
commanding officer.

17

�An accident resulting in injury prior to posting to Vietnam, but not
necessitating immediate discharge (due to its minimal severity or the
need for prolonged medical treatment).

Family circumstance, such as illness, social problems etc. resulting
in the national serviceman being granted leave without pay or being
posted to a base near home, precluding Vietnam service.

b)

Army influence
Requirement lists.

These listed the manpower requirements of corps

and units. The allocation boards attempted to match 'dream sheets' to
'requirement lists', probably with varying success.

The 49/51 rule. The Army maintained Vietnam service unit strength at
51% regulars or above, although it appears from 1968 onwards the lack
of available regulars meant that the ratio sat on 49% national
servicemen and 51% regulars.

A national serviceman's superiors regarding him as unsuitable for
Vietnam service.

It is probable that these factors, while influencing Vietnam service,
would also influence subsequent morbidity and mortality.

The number of national servicemen who sought or avoided Vietnam
service is not known.

18

�As this problem is one of confounding, its role may be evaluated, at
least in part, at the data analysis stage once the requisite data has
been obtained from the army.

It appears possible to identify individuals transferring into or out
of Vietnam bound units by searching through individual personnel
dossiers.

The proportion of national servicemen who became veterans is similar
across all States of enlistment (see Table 3.1) although anecdotal
evidence indicates that some units were comprised mainly of enlistees
from certain States.

OLD

NSW

vie

SA-

WA

TAS

NT

Total subjects enlisted in State

14%

32%

30%

10%

10%

4%

0%

% of subjects who are veterans

43%

42%

39%

40%

42%

44%

Table 3.1 Origin of subjects by State of enlistment, and % veterans of
subjects enlisted in each State.

3.4

Comparability of Veteran and Non-Veteran National Servicemen

As indicated in the previous section, there is ample evidence that the
decision to send a national serviceman to Vietnam was not random.

In the absence of random allocation, it is likely that even before the Vietnam
experience, those who eventually went (veterans) would have differed, in
several important respects, from those who did not go to Vietnam (controls).

19

�This view is supported by evidence that veterans differed from controls in
educational level and in scores on the SDI psychological scale at induction.

In as much as these pre-Vietnam differences between veteran and control
national servicemen are measurable, they can be treated as potential
confounding factors.

At the stage of analysis of results it will be possible

to see whether factors such as education and psychological type are related to
outcome, and if so, to make statistical adjustments to minimise the effects of
the confounding.

However, it is important to emphasise that because of (undetectable) errors in
the measurement of these confounding factors, such statistical adjustments
will always be incomplete. Furthermore, no statistical treatment could ever
allow for the effects of confounding factors which are unmeasured (and
possibly unsuspected).

3.5

Duration of National Service in the Army

Discharge occurred after 2 years service (reduced to 18 months in 1971) unless
discharge occurred early for extraordinary reasons (medically unfit,
exceptional hardship, change of Government) or late (retention for medical
treatment, voluntary prolongation of service).

An analysis of 'discharge reason1 by 'duration of service1 for those intakes
with veterans revealed that 53% of discharges as 'medically unfit1 occurred in
the first 3 months, 67% by 6 months and by 12 months 80% of all such
discharges had occurred (see Table 3.2). For 'expiration of term1, 0%
occurred in the first 12 months, 29% in 13-24 months, 65% in the 25th month,
and 5% after 25 months. The 5% of discharges after 25 months service may be
due to errors in enlistment and discharge dates or retention of servicemen in

20

�the Army for medical treatment or voluntary prolongation of service.

The

reasons for those delayed discharges will be explored by manual searching of
the CARD dossiers.

Reason for Discharge

% Discharged in Time Interval
of Duration of Service
0-3m
7-12 m
13-24 m 25m +
4m- 6m

Total No.
100%

0%
0%
14%
19%
4%
10%

0%
0%
13%
22%
13%
22%

29%
0%
15%
19%
23%
23%

70%
100%
5%
6%
52%
42%

40829

Other

0%
0%
53%
34%
6%
3%

Total

5%

2%

3%

27%

63%

49881

Expiration of term
Exceptional hardship
Medically unfit
Unsuitable, non-discipl.

Unsuitable, disciplinary

63
3661

874
316
4138

Table 3.2 Reason for Discharge by Duration of Service

3.6

National Service Intakes

Department of Defence Army Manning Reviews divide national service enlistments
into 4 intakes each year.

Each intake lasted up to 2 weeks, and they occurred

in January, April, July and September.

A minority of enlistments occurred in

the other months, and for the purposes of this study an intake consists of all
national servicemen who enlisted in 1 of the above months or enlisted in the
month on either side of that month.

3.7

Sources of the National Service Cohort Data Base

The following information is available from the army for current and former
servicemen:
Service number
Surname
Given names

21

�Date of birth
Date of enlistment
Marital status at enlistment
Educational status at enlistment
Occupation at enlistment
Religion
Nun-iber of dependents
Place of birth
Army health classification at enlistment
Postings
Dates of postings
Date of discharge
Discharge reason

Army health classification at discharge
»

Medical record and psychology record data
Other

To date, two army sources have been used to provide data about national
servicemen in the Vietnam period.

These are the Central Army Records Office

(CARD) and the Melbourne Regional Computer Centre (MRCC), both located in
Melbourne.

MRCC

An MRCC-supplied computer file contains most of the above data for most study
subjects. However, it has several major short-comings. Firstly, it contains
initials, not given names (which are required for obtaining subject addresses)
and does not contain postings data, medical or psychology data, or other
miscellaneous service history data.

Secondly, preliminary examination

indicates that the data it contains are less accurate than those in the CARD

22

�dossier. As discussed below the first match to obtain addresses will be
computerised: matching study subjects' MRCC-file derived names (surname, 2
initials) and date of birth with the Australian Electoral Register. It is
proposed to overcome the problems of MRCC file inaccuracy by returning all
unmatched subjects names and d.o.b. to CARO for manual verification and
addition of 2 given names (CARO contains dossier records for all current and
former servicemen). Where corrections have been made, the subjects will be
matched with the Australian Electoral Register again, and the residue not
matching will be sought in other registers.

CARO

In addition to the above limitations, the MRCC file does not indicate
veteran/control status, and neither dates nor names of Vietnam postings.
These are contained on a computer file held by AVHS compiled from data
manually extracted from individual CARO dossiers. While this file does have 2
given names for all veterans, it only gives data for 17% of controls.

There is evidence of misclassification of veteran/control status, probably
less than 1%.

3• &amp;

Verifying the Completeness of the National Service Cohort

The completeness of the cohort has two aspects: firstly, whether we know of
the existence of all of the national servicemen, and secondly, whether we have
complete details on those known. This work has already been performed as part
of the Mortality Study.

All national servicemen have been identified, and the data listed in 3.7 above
is present in at least 98% of cases.

23

�3• 9

P?i.cJ.?r?r1 Ln.9 _yi£.^Jr-SmiacV °* the Nationa 1 JSe r_vi£e_ Cohort

Generally, data on the MRCC file will be used for the purposes of the
Morbidity Study, as this is the only file with complete coverage of national
servicemen. The CARD computer file has much greater coverage of veterans than
controls and is therefore a biased source.

The MRCC - CARO match was used to determine the error rates in the MRCC data
in the following way:

If an inconsistency emerged in the MRCC - CARO match

the origin of this inconsistency was determined. This involved checking that
the computerised CARO data were correctly entered, and, if so, that they were
correctly transcribed from the original CARO dossiers. The remaining
discrepancies were corrected by referral to army personnel dossiers.

3.10

Rationale for Morbidity Study Subjects Being a Subset of Mortality
Study Subjects

Mortality Study subjects comprise all former national servicemen who saw
service in Vietnam, and all other national servicemen from those intakes which
also included veterans who stayed in the army at least 13 weeks.

The 13 week minimum army service criterion is proposed for several reasons:
Initial recruit training lasted from 10 to 12 weeks and the majority (53%) of
discharges described as "medically unfit" occurred during this time.

Recruit

training therefore acted as a further screening procedure to identify and
discharge these persons not suitable for army service.

By the end of recruit

training those remaining in the army would be considered suitable "material"
for selection for Vietnam service.

A minimum service duration of 13 weeks for

subject selection therefore ensures that subjects, both veterans and controls,
had an adequate health standard at the time of enlistment.

24

�This rationale for defining mortality study subjects applies equally to
morbidity study subjects.

Since all 48,600 national servicemen fulfilling the

above criteria will be selected for the mortality study and only 5,000 need be
studied for the morbidity study, the morbidity study subjects can be a subset
of mortality study subjects.

Vietnam service generally commenced 9 to 12 months after enlistment.
Therefore servicemen discharged between 10 weeks and 9 months after enlistment
were not eligible to become veterans.

Nevertheless, they will be included,

because their exclusion would prevent investigation of the relationship
between morbidity and the factors associated with early discharge.

If

morbidity is found to be related to a history of early discharge in the
control sample this will provide evidence of the magnitude of the effects on
morbidity that can arise from differences which are not related to the Vietnam
experience.

If necessary, these 'short service1 controls could be excluded from the
analysis at a later stage, to allow comparisons of morbidity to be made in
veterans and controls with similar duration of army service.

3.11

Rationale for Subjects Being N.S.W. Enlistees Only

To enhance the logistic feasibility of the morbidity study it is proposed to
select subjects who enlisted in N.S.W. N.S.W is chosen as it is the most
populous State and the study team is physically located in Sydney, within 200
kilometers of approximately 85% of the State's residents.

N.S.W. enlistees

who have moved interstate will be sought and encouraged to participate.

N.S.W

enlistees who have emigrated from Australia will be deemed to be unavailable
until they return to Australia.

25

�The assumption underlying this state of enlistment approach is that a large
majority of N.S.W. enlistees are still living in the State.

This assumption has been examined by matching former national servicemens1
names and dates of birth with the Australian Electoral Register of July 1981
(see Table 3.3) and tabulating the State of residence on the register.

Approximately 6,000 veterans and 9,000 controls enlisted in N.S.W, many more
than required for the morbidity survey (see sec. 3.19) .
Veteran
3515

6155

2728

4971

% of Names Matching

78%

81%

% of Names Not Matching

(b)

Number of Names Sought
Number of Names Matching

(a)

Control

22%

19%

State Distribution of Names Matching with Australian Electoral
Register.

Table 3.3 State of Residence of N.S.W. Enlistees.

1981 Electoral Register State

Veteran

Control

NSW

88%

91%

VIC

2%

2%

OLD

6%

5%

SA, NT

2%

1%

WA

2%

1%

TAS

0.4%

0.4%

12%

Not in NSW

26

9%

�The results in Table 3.3 are likely to be the best possible expectation of
reality ar&gt; the 19-23% not matching on the Australian Electoral Register may be
more evenly spread across Australia or overseas.

In addition, errors in the

Electoral Register State of residence due to delays in entering change of
address data are likely to over-represent N.S.W. since N.S.W. enlistees
started out there.

Nevertheless, the result is encouraging, and also suggests that confining the
medical examination facilities to N.S.W. may be the most economical way of
executing the study.

N.S.W. enlistees are comparable to enlistees from other states in terms of
distribution across corps, proportion of veterans overall, and proportion of
veterans within each year of enlistment.
»

An alternative approach is to select current N.S.W. residents irrespective of
State of enlistment. There would be the potential for major bias, in that
mobility after Vietnam service could be strongly correlated with morbidity,
and, in terms current State of residence, differ among the States (e.g. mobile
people heading to Qld and NT).

3.12

Subject Selection

To be eligible for subject selection, a former national serviceman must fulfil
the following requirements:
(i)

Served in the Army at least 13 weeks, to ensure uniform enlistment
health status (see section 3.10);

(ii)

Be enlisted in an intake from which Vietnam veterans were subsequently
drawn.

(iii)

Intakes after February 1971 contain no veterans;

Be enlisted in N.S.W. (see section 3.11).

27

�The pool of former national servicemen fulfilling these three criteria will be
stratified by veteran/control status and enlistment intake. With regard to
the total number of veterans required (see section 3.19), random selection of
a constant proportion of veterans within each intake will be made.

For every intake from which veterans have been selected, 2 controls will be
randomly selected for every 3 veterans.

This will ensure that both the structure of ages and chronologic years of army
and Vietnam service are similar for veterans and controls.

3.13

Obtaining Subject Addresses

Inviting subjects to a medical examination requires knowledge of their current
address.
*

Initially, address will be obtained from the Australian Electoral Register,
(probably 80%) and drivers licence registers (a further 10-15%). Follow-up
data from the Mortality Study would be useful in this regard.

Additional

negotiation will be required to obtain addresses from licence registers.

However, in the Pilot Study it was found that only 87-90% of subjects could be
located using a known Electoral Register address.

It is proposed therefore,

that when a morbidity study subject is unable to be located through an address
obtained via the mortality study, additional address searching will be carried
out.

Since all subjects will be sought in the Australian Electoral Register and
computerized licence registers, there will be no additional search requirement
for these sources. Additional searching will involve manual drivers licence
registers (Vic, Qld) the latest Electoral Register microfiche, commercial
28

�credit bureaux, telephone books and Telecom customer files, and Social
Security records, if available. It is probable that 10% of morbidity subjects
will have to be sought in this way. This second stage searching, specific to
the morbidity study requirement for current addresses, will be carried out
concurrently with the medical examination field work, as the failure to
contact a subject will only become evident at this stage.

If available, the current Australian Electoral Register tape will be used as
the initial source of the addresses of subjects.

Addresses, once obtained, will be held on computer file to facilitate the
control and monitoring of subject contact and participation.

3.14

Areas to be Investigated

Veterans have expressed concern about the health of themselves and their
offspring in several areas.

However, confining investigation to these areas

alone would ignore many areas of disease which might have arisen from service
in Vietnam, and which might, at a later stage, become significant to the
veterans.

3.14.1 Veterans Areas of Concern
Birth defects - see Case-Control Study of Congenital Anomalies;
Death from a variety of causes - see Retrospective Mortality Study;
Cancer - to be investigated in part via the Mortality Study;
Abnormalities of behaviour (eg outbursts of rage);
Substance abuse (eg excessive use of alcohol, tobacco, illicit drugs,
prescription drugs);
Relationship difficulties (eg divorce, social disabilities);
Psychiatric disorders (eg depression, anxiety);
Reproductive disorders (eg miscarriages, infertility);
29

�Liver disorders;
Gastrointestinal

disorders;

Neurological disorders of both the C.N.S. and P.N.S.;
Skin abnormalities.

3.14.2 Morbidity Related to Concomitants -of War Service.

-

._

Corcbat injuries, disability and crippling
Psychiatric disorders (see sec. 2.3):
Post-traumatic stress disorder
Substance abuse:
alcohol - gastrointestinal ulceration, liver disease,
hypertension, degeneration of nervous system and
heart, psychoses
tobacco - chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,
respiratory tract infection, cardiovascular
disease, cancer
miscellaneous drug dependencies
Depression and anxiety disorders:
wide variety of concomitant symptoms
Somatization disorders:
wide variety of concomitant symptoms affecting nervous
system, gastrointestinal system, cardiopulmonary
system, psychosexual functioning
Infectious diseases
Only four diseases endemic to Vietnam could (arguably) still
affect veterans:
Melioidosis
Strongyloidiasis
Syphilis
Tuberculosis
30

�All other infections will have either spontaneously resolved or become
sufficiently florid to necessitate treatment and cure.

Although vivax

malaria can persist in a latent phase for long period of time it is
not considered that this could be a significant cause of morbidity.

3.14.3 Morbidity Implicated in Herbicide Literature
Occupational studies of the long term effect of human exposure to
chlorinated phenols have revealed cases of soft tissue sarcoma, and
the Swedish case-control studies, suggest that phenoxy herbicides
could cause soft tissue sarcoma and lymphoma (Hardell and Sandstrom,
1979, see also section 2.2).

3.15

Implications of Pilot Study Results

The Pilot Study has provided information about the value of many aspects of
methodology which have been considered in the planning of this morbidity
protocol.

Information from the Pilot Study will also be used in the planning

of detailed procedures if this present protocol is approved in principle.

Briefly, the pilot study results show that:

o

telephone and face to face interviews were more expensive ($100 and
$95 respectively) than self-administered questionnaires ($60) posted
to the home

o

response rates were higher for telephone and face to face interviews
than for self-administered questionnaires

o

veterans responded to the request for an interview more frequently
than controls

o

self reports on army unit, subunit, corps and veteran status are
likely to be useful

31

�o

self reports on posting dates and operations in Vietnam are unlikely
to be useful

o

sell reports on exposure to chemicals in Vietnam are unlikely to be
useful

o

self reports on exposure to chemicals at work and home are more likely
to be useful

- -

o

cigarette smoking was reliably reported

o

the use of alcohol was reliably reported, but with the instrument used
drinking frequently was less reliably reported

o

false positive and false negative rates for conditions reported in the
medical history were high, especially for conditions occurring more
than one year prior to interview

o

separation of the medical history and physical examination meant that
the examining physicians were hindered by a lack of contextual clues
in making judgments about morbidity in the subjects studied

o

morbidity was detected in both veteran and control subjects; target
conditions based on subjective responses were found at highest
frequency

o

the psychology tests used were insensitive in detecting psychopathology

o

a proportion of the reports from wives on miscarriages, birth defects
and handicaps in children could not be confirmed.

The implications of these findings have been considered in more detail
elsewhere in this protocol.

3.16

Rationale for Using MEDICHECK jte a1th Screening Centre

Comprehensive medical evaluation of several thousand men requires complex
logistical arrangements. The MEDICHECK Centre in Sydney has extensive
experience in processing large numbers of people through a medical evaluation
procedure. As the majority of subjects will be living in or near Sydney,

�compliance will he maximized by having the examination site in Sydney.
MF.DICHECK is convenient, as it is located in the centre of Sydney, close to
public transport.

Detailed evaluation of the comparative economics of MEDICHECK versus AVHS established centres has not as yet been performed. However, initial
indications are that MEDICHECK compares favourably with Pilot Study costs.
Apart from economics, there are other advantages of using MEDICHECK:

1.

The use of MEDICHECK facilities would significantly reduce the time
required to commence the medical examination of subjects and would
therefore bring forward the date of reporting of the morbidity survey.

2.

The experience and skill of currently employed staff ensures maximum
•• -

efficiency in subject processing, even at the commencement of
examinations.

3.

MEDICHECK uses a computer-guided VDU-type questionnaire which is
acceptable to clients, does not permit invalid or inconsistent
answers, and does not require staff to administer.

(It is constrained

by permitting only yes/no answers and will therefore be supplemented
by a pencil and paper instrument when more complex responses are
required).

4.

Facilities and staff are in place for blood pressure measurement,
electrocardiogram, chest x-ray, pulmonary function, audiogram,
anthropometric and biochemical evaluation. The Centre operates it own
biochemistry and microbiology laboratories, and participates in a
standards programme supervised by the College of Pathologists of
Australasia.
33

�/

5.

The entry of all data onto computer files is the routine method of
data handling, and will increase the efficiency of the morbidity study.

While the use of MEDICHECK is indicated for the above reasons, certain
additions and modifications to the usual programme will be made to ensure
quality control of critical items {eg blood presure measurement) -and-to ensure
that additional items of data of particular interest to the morbidity study
are collected. These are discussed below.

3.17

Ra t_ionale for Method of Measuring Morbidity

Additions to the usual MEDICHECK programme are required to meet the
requirements of the morbidity study. The data to be collected by the usual
MEDICHECK evaluation and those to be collected by additional sections of the
examination are listed below, along with their rationale (see section 3.14).

3.17.1 VDU Questionnaire.
Item

Rationale

Marital status

Veterans, war service

Job satisfaction block

War service

Financial status/problems

Veterans, war service

Sleep/worry

Veterans, war service

Depression and state of mind

Veterans, war service, TCDD,
2,4-D, 2,4,5-T

Drinking habits

War service

Smoking habits

War service

Exercise

War service

Tablets

War service

Bereavements and family history

Confoundin- variable

Coronary symptoms

War service, TCDD

34

�Leg pain symptoms

War service, TCDD

Hoart beat/hypertension

War service, TCDD, 2,4-D

Breathlessness, numbness, varicose

War service, TCDD, 2,4-D, 2,4,5-T

veins
Ankle oedema symptoms

War service, TCDD

Lung problems and diseases

War service, TCDD

Abdominal diseases and history

Veterans, Vietnam service,
TCDD, 2,4-D, 2,4,5-T
Veterans, war service, TCDD,

Sexual problems

2,4,5-T
VD and U/G history, infections,

War service, TCDD

operations
Joint &amp; muscle pains/arthritis

War service, 2,4-D

Neurological symptoms

Veterans, war service, TCDD,
2,4-D, 2,4,5-T

Skin disease and allergies

Veterans, war service

Vision and eye problems

TCDD, 2,4,5-T

Ear, nose and throat problems

2,4-D

Tropical diseases

Veterans, Vietnam service

Infections and miscellaneous

Veterans

diseases

3.17.2 Components of the AVHS Questionnaire
Self Report of Current Conditions and Symptoms
At reception, all subjects will be asked to list all current medical
conditions and symptoms, to indicate a grading of severity (from
1-trivial to 5-incapacitating) and to give a duration for each
complaint. This data is being sought in addition to questionnaire
data for several reasons:

35

�to identify intercurrent and trivial illness which may affect
pathology tests (e.g. white cell count)
to permit an unprompted description of the subject's problems,
which may reveal unsuspected or unconventional symptomatology
to improve the accuracy of clinical judgements made by the
doctor about the subject's health.

Pencil and Paper Questionnaire
Item

Rationale (see section 3.14)

Occupation, employment

Veterans

Education

Veterans

Social and behavioural functioning

Veterans, war service

Marital and offspring history

Veterans, war service

Wife/partner identification

Veterans, war service

Social desirability questions

Confounding variable

Reasons for Vietnam/non-Vietnam

Confounding variable

service
Combat experience

Explanatory variable

Combat injuries

Explanatory variable

Alcohol and tobacco consumption

War service

- diary of past week
Other drug consumption, including
tea and coffee

War service

Medical and hospital consultations

Confirmation of reports

- reasons, when, duration, name and
address.
Confounding variable

Herbicide exposure in Australia

36

�3.17.3 Neuropriychjatric Screening
Test

Rationale

Interview:

Veterans, war service

present state examination
post-traumatic stress
disorder
interpersonal relationships
psychological well-being
AVHS schedule of life events:
Eysenck Personality
Inventory
Army Self Description
Inventory
Symbol-Digit Modalities
Test
Supra-Span Digit Learning
Test
Trail Making Test
Nelson Adult Reading Test
Army Speed and Accuracy
Test.

3.17.4

Pathology and Other Tests
Rationale

Test
Electrocardiogram

War servicer TCDD

Chest x-ray

Vietnam service: tuberculosis

Spirometry

War Service

Hearing

War service

Anthropometry

War service

37

�Rationale

Test
Blood:

Glucose, lipids

TCDD, 2,4-D, 2,4,5-T

Uric acid

Alcohol related, 2,4-D

Liver enzymes

Veterans, Vietnam service,
TCDD 2,4-D

Haematology

Alcohol, Vietnam service

Hepatitis B serology

Vietnam service

Strongyloides, melioidosis, Vietnam service
and syphilis serology
Drug screen

War service

Urine

3.17.5

TCDD, 2,4,5-T

Physical Examination
Item

Rationale

Skin

Veterans, Vietnam service TCDD

Hepatosplenomegaly

War service, TCDD, 2,4-D

Neurological screen

Veterans, war service, TCDD,
2,4-D, 2,4,5-T

Thoracic auscultation

War service, TCDD, 2f4-D

Legs - vascular, reflexes, sensation Veterans, war service, TCDD,

2,4-D
Blood pressure

War service, TCDD, 2,4-D

Auditory canals and tympanic

Confounding variable in

membranes

hearing testing

In addition, the examining doctor will have the questionnaire
responses for each subject, and will elicit additional historical
details and additional examination findings as indicated by the

38

�history. He will then record all physical signs found and make
clinical judgements as to the presence or absence of particular
conditions (see section 3.14), and record other diagnoses suggested by
the data. Later, when test results are available he will have the
opportunity to modify or add to his clinical judgements.

3.17.6 Hicrarchica1 Struetun;
One component of the on-site medical examination will be conducted on
a sample of subjects only. This is the phase 2 neuropsychiatric
evaluation. This area is of particular importance to veterans and
relates directly to the putative effects of both war service and
herbicide exposure.

It is therefore desirable that detailed

evaluation be carried out in this area. As this will require 1 hour
of additional testing per subject, it is not feasible to evaluate all
subjects without reducing the total number of subjects studied.

A random sample of 10% of all subjects plus subjects with high scores
on the neuropsychiatric screen will undergo additional testing.

This

allows for accurate diagnosis of those with suspicious scores on the
screening test, and the evaluation of the random sample of non-high
scorers will enable inferences to be made about the prevalence of
psychopathology in the total sample.

3.17.7 Referral Policy
3.17.7.1 Referrals Indicated for Medical Reasons
Any subject with illness requiring treatment or urgent investigation
will be referred back to his local doctor, with a brief note from the
MEDICHECK physician explaining the problem and asking for follow-up
information. Subsequent investigation and treatment would be arranged
by the local doctor.
39

�With the prior approval of each subject, a summary of the complete
evaluation will be sent to his local doctor.

3.]7.7.2 Pp_tigns__fgr Referrals Indicated for Research Reasons
For some subjects, although there may be no indication for treatment
or urgent investigation, there may be symptoms and/or signs which
cannot be explained without specialist consultation or referral.

There are two alternative methods for obtaining the opinions of
nodical specialists in regard to subjects who are thought by the
examining doctor to be suffering from a medical condition that the
doctor is not able to diagnose accurately.

The first alternative (option A) is to confine specialist examination
to the 3 areas of particular concern to veterans and of significance
in relation to herbicide exposure.
gastroenterology and neurology.

These are dermatology,

For this option, if the examining

doctor is of the opinion that the subject has a condition in any of
the 3 areas of interest which the doctor is not able to diagnose
accurately the subject will be referred to co-operative specialists
for full clinical evaluation at AVHS expense.

The results of the

clinical evaluations of all subjects referred would then be available
at the time of data analysis.

The second alternative (option B) is to perform the standard medical
examination on all subjects prior to referral of any subjects, and at
the stage of analysis, if the data suggested that veterans were
suffering from particular forms of disability more frequently than
controls, selected veterans and controls would be referred to the

40

�appropriate specialists. This appioach has the advantage that there
is no prejudgement of areas requiring specialist assistance, thereby
throwing the net wider to catch unexpected areas of morbidity;
specialist evaluation (and consequent expenditure) is confined to
those areas in particular need of investigation; the number of
subjects to be investigated is much more readily controlled-than vould
be the case with a comparatively open-ended referral system; referral
is confined to those subjects that, on full consideration of all data,
have inexplicable disabilities.

Difficulties are that in the interval between initial examination and
subsequent referral some subjects will have changed addresses, and
therefore all subjects will be required to notify the Study of all
changes of address; subject motivation may have waned, resulting in
lower compliance rates. Option B will also delay the completion of
the study.

In both option A and option B specialist reports would be made
available to the Study.

3.17.8 Questionnaire jor Wife/ Female Partner
Considerable anxiety has been experience by veterans in relation to
decreased fertility and abnormal reproductive outcomes. The separate
Case-Control Study of Congenital Anomalies has addressed part of this
area, but not infertility, death or disability of offspring, or
miscarriages.

These will be investigated using a structured telephone interview with
the current and previous partners.

41

Attention will be confined to

�women who have cohabited with the subject for at least 12 months (or
who became pregnant while cohabiting for a lesser period).

If contact

cannot be made by telephone, a home visit will be made to all wives
who live in a capital city, otherwise a postal questionnaire will be
sent, to be completed at home.

There is no requirement for the

partner or children to be present at the examination site, as all
abnormal pregnancy outcomes will be verified through medical records.
For any treatment received in relation to these outcomes, the year of
treatment and name and address of the doctor or hospital will be
obtained, to allow verification of the data supplied.

For all children biologically fathered by the subject the following
data will be sought (from the most recent child, back in time):
Sex and birthdates
*»

Difficulties with any pregnancies
Disabilities or death of any of the children.
Additional data will also be obtained:
Miscarriages leading to curettage in hospital
Mothers date of birth.

3.18

Physician Assessment

Based on a retrospective assessment of Pilot Study data, two AVHS physicians
made judgments about the presence and absence of a number of target
conditions, taking into account the symptoms, physical signs and results of
special tests.

This work has also been incorporated in the Pilot Study Report.

The following recommendations can be made about the need for physician
assessments in the proposed morbidity study:

42

�(i)

An assessment by a physician has high face validity, provided that it
is based on a contextual analysis of symptoms, signs and results of
special tests. Therefore, in the proposed study each subject should
have a brief interview (15 minutes) with a physician, working in the
MEDICHECK environment, who will:
o

assess the results of the MEDICHECK and pencil and paper
questionnaires

o

ask additional direct questions

o

carry out a physical examination

o

record judgments about:
the quality of the history
the presence of designated signs
the presence of designated conditions
-

o

other morbidity

re-assess his judgments when the results of special tests have
been made available.

(ii)

No case can be made for separating the assessment of the history from
the assessment of signs and special tests.

(iii)

To minimise subjective bias in physician judgments, objective indices
should be sought, wherever possible, to support the judgments based on
the assessments of symptoms and signs.

•
For example, to precisely document the prevalence of peripheral
neuritis in veterans and controls, a "council of perfection" would be
to recommend that clinical examination and nerve conduction studies by
•

a trained neurologist be carried out on (a) all subjects with symptoms
and signs suggestive of peripheral neuritis and (b) a random selection
(e.g. 1 in 20) of subjects.
43

�However/ such an option is probably precluded by considerations of
cost and acceptability to subjects. The lessei option, i.e. of
referral on the basis of suspected signs alone, would be less
informative because of the subjective nature of neurological signs
when elicited by a physician who is not a practised neurologist.

(iv)

Ideally, the physicians who carry out the 15 minute interviews and
assessments at KEDICHECK should have post-graduate training as
physicians (i.e. FRACP qualifications or MRCP) or general
practitioners (FRAOGP), and they should be specially selected for the
purpose of this study.

(v)

The exact protocols and proformas for the recording of physicians
judgments will be finalised after consultation between MEDICHECK
physicians and AVHS physicians.

3.19

Rationale For Number of Subjects

The number of subjects to be examined is influenced by several constraints:
o

The need to complete examinations in 12-18 months to allow the
submission of a report in an appropriate time frame,

o

The total number of subjects available that fulfil the criteria
outlined above,

o

The need for the study to have sufficient power to detect moderate
relative risks for conditions of interest possibly associated with
Vietnam service.

o

The need to have sufficient numbers of veterans to test the hypothesis
that variables such as combat exposure, herbicide exposure and corps,
are predictive of morbidity -within the Vietnam cohort.

44

�Approximately 120 subjects could be examined per week, for a total of 5,760 in
a 48 week period. Taking into account delays introduced by not being able to
locate subjects at known addresses, and initial failure of some subjects to
keep examination appointments, a more realistic total in one year is probably
5,000 subjects.

As approximately 6,000 veterans and 9,000 controls enlisted in N.S.W., total
numbers available are adequate.

For 5,000 subjects, maximum study power is achieved when the numbers of
veterans and controls are equal (2,500 of each).

Increasing the number of

veterans studied to 3,000 (to increase power in relation to explanatory
variables within the veteran group) and reducing the number of controls to
2,000 reduces the power of veteran/control comparisons by 4%, a minimal loss.
The effect on study power of further increasing the number of veterans is
shown in Table 3.4.

Table 3.4 Effect of Veteran/Control Ratio on Power.

Veterans

Controls

2,500

2,500

0%

3,000

2,000

4%

3,500

1,500

16%

4,000

1,000

36%

Loss of efficiency

Therefore, it is proposed to examine 3,000 veterans and 2,000 controls.

45

�Foi selected conditions of particular interest, the minimum relative risk that
would be detected (80% power, P(1) = 0.05) is shown in Table 3.5. The
expected prevalence rates are mostly derived from complaints of controls in
the Pilot Study. A more detailed table is given in Appendix 1.

Table 3.5 Minimum Relative Risks Detectable as Statistically Significant with
3,000 Veterans and 2,000 Controls

Condition

Estimated prevalence

Anxiety
Sleep difficulties
Depression
Temper outbursts
Hypertension
Numbness and tingling
Dizziness
Loss of strength
Severe acne
Burning /itching of skin
Persistent rash

Minimum Relative Risk

10%
16%
10%
20%

1.2
1.1-1.2
1.2
1.1-1.2

5%
5%
7%
5%

1.3-1.4
1.3-1.4
1.2-1.3
1.3-1.4

3%
13%
13%

1.3-1.4
1.1-1.2
1.1-1.2

Up to 100 deaths are anticipated to have occurred since discharge (18 months
to 2 years post enlistment) in this cohort of 7,000. These will be detected
via the mortality study.

A minimum detectable relative risk of 1.4 for the common conditions of
interest indicates that 5,000 is a satisfactory number of subjects. Rare
*

conditions such as melioidosis, strongyloidiasis and syphilis will, if
significant causes of morbidity among veterans, have much larger relative
risks than 1.4. Lack of adequate general population prevalence rates makes
power estimation impossible. Rare manifestations of common exposures such as

46

�alcohol (eg Korsakow's psychosis) are not of relevance here, as there are much
more common manifest ions that will allow evaluation of veteran/control
differences arising from any differences in patterns of alcohol use.

Any infrequent but distinctive effect of Vietnam service or herbicide exposure
might be provisionally identified on clinical grounds even if its frequency
was not statistically increased in veterans (e.g. 6 cases in veterans, none in
controls). For instance, there would be only 2 or 3 cases of a condition with
the incidence of multiple sclerosis in this group of 5,000 men.

This study will not specifically investigate cancer incidence for the
following reasons:

i.

The study would have very low power to detect veteran/control
*•

differences due to the infrequency of cancer in this young age group,
ii.

The mortality associated with cancer would reduce the number of
subjects giving a past history of cancer,

iii.

Subjects with cancer may not be sufficiently well or motivated to
present for medical examination,

iv.

The long latent period for developing cancer.

3.20

Index of Herbicide Exposure
3.20.1 Objective Determination of Herbicide Exposure
Determining individual herbidide exposure in Vietnam from spraying
mission and troop movement data is considered in other reports (Adams
et al., 1981).

3.20.2 Subjective Reports of Herbicide Exposure
The relationship between subjects reporting of herbicide exposure and
morbidity will be difficult to interprete for several reasons:
47

�The events occured 12 to 17 years ago and therefore
recollection is likely to be inaccurate.
At the time the spraying was taking place the soldiers did not
know what chemicals were being sprayed.
It may be anticipated that as a result of the publicity
surrounding the issue and the desire for compensation those
subjects with morbidity will be more likely to recall being
sprayed independent of whether they were actually sprayed.

It may be possible to analyse this latter problem, one of recall bias,
by determining the relationship between current morbidity, reported
exposure to herbicide and the likelihood of herbicide exposure
determined by the HOPPS programme.

In spite of this potential bias it

is important to collect and assess the utility of subjective reports
»

of herbicide exposure.

3.20.3 Quantity of Herbicide Sprayed Each Year
The volume of herbicide sprayed in the RANCH HAND programme in Phuoc
Tuy in each year of the Vietnam War is known (Table 3.6).

Table 3.6 Annual Herbicide Usage in Phuoc Tuy Province by Agent According to
HERBS Tapes 1965-1971

Amount of RANCH HAND herbicide sprayed in Phuoc Tuy (in thousands of litres)
Year

Agent
Orange

1965
1966
1967
1968
1969+

Total

White

90
200
490
240

140
570

"~

•
*

1020

Blue

^^

^

-

50
•

710
48

50

Total
90
200
680
810
"

1780

�Thus the chronologic year of service in Vietnam is useful as an
explanatory variable, although herbicide usage and level of combat are
probably highly correlated.

3.20.4

Exposure to Herbicide in kustralia

If herbicide exposure does have a measurable effect on morbidity, the
relationship between herbicide exposure in Vietnam and current
morbidity is potentially confounded by herbicide exposure in
Australia.

Therefore data will be sought from subjects on

occupational exposure to herbicides.

3.21

Index of Combat Exposure

American literature suggests increased prevalence of war-related disorders
amongst those troops closest to the 'front-line1 of combat (Penk et al.,
1981). In analysing relationships within the veteran group it is therefore
important to assess the degree of combat or danger to which veterans were
subjected. This will be done in several ways:

1.

Chronologic Year of Vietnam Service.
The risk of death or wounding as a function of year of Vietnam
service will be determined and used as an explanatory variable.

2.

Corps
Subject's Corps will be used as an explanatory variable, as
some Army Corps (Engineers, Infantry, Armoured, Artillery,
Signals) engaged in contact with the enemy, and other did not.

3.

Subjects Injured in Combat
The Central Medical Record of each subject will be reviewed

49

�and the presence of any combat injuries recorded, along with
their nature, cause and duration of hospital treatment (see
section 3.22.2).

4.

Casualty Rate of Units (Combat Index)
With "Casualty Reports' (the completeness of which is not yet
known) and Vietnam Unit postings data, the incidence of combat
wounds and deaths will be compiled for all Units, if
feasible. With data on each subject's Vietnam postings from
his CARD dossier (see section 3.22.1) the risk of combat
injury and death will be calculated for each subject.

5.

Subjective Combat Exposure
Figley (1980) has developed a questionnaire which quantifies
combat exposure, which he has validated on a small sample.
Only minor modification is required to make it applicable to
Australian Vietnam veterans.

Only veterans will be asked to

complete this instrument, as it is not applicable to controls.

3.22

Army Dossier Data Held on Each Subject

The personal (CARD) dossier, Central Medical Record and psychology record
cards together contain a wealth of information about almost every aspect of a
serviceman's period of service.

This material is potentially available, is

not subject to recall bias, and constitutes a valuable source of baseline data
for each subject, enabling comparisons of veterans and controls at the time of
enlistment and during the period of service.
are outlined below.

50

More specific uses of these data

�For all 5,000 subjects it is proposed to extract certain data from these
records for UKO in the analysis and interpretation of findings from the
medical examinations and to compare the enlistment and Army service
characteristics of subjects who present for examination with those who do
not. The extraction of these data therefore need not precede the medical
examinations, but will be concurrent.

3.22.1 CARP Dossier
Data to be extracted:
Verification of veteran/control status
Verification of Vietnam postings for veterans.
Disciplinary proceedings
Promotions
Volunteer/bal lotee

The CARD dossiers of all current and former members of the army are
held in the Central Army Records Office (CARD) in Melbourne, except
for those of serving Officers (Military Secretary's Office, Canberra).

These data will be used to derive each subject's risk of combat injury
or death (Sec. 3.21), and to see if ability in the army or
disciplinary problems are related to current morbidity and social and
psychological functioning.

3.22.2 Central Medical Record;
Data to be extracted:
1.

From enlistment medical examination:
Weight, height
Significant past medical history
PULHEEMS rating (Army fitness ratings, see Appendix 2).
51

�2.

Hospital admissions:
Type of disease
Duration of admission
Residual disability

3.

From discharge medical examination:
PULHEEMS

Theso data will be used to determine to what extent current morbidity
existed at the time of army service, or has arisen subsequently.

3.22.3

Psychology Record Card

Three types of data will be extracted from the psychology record card:
i.

Enlistment psychology test results.
The comparison of these test results between veterans and
•

controls, and with scores obtained when retesting subjects 10
to 15 years later, will permit valuable comparisons of veteran
and control subjects both prior to and after army service.
The relationship between test scores and subsequent morbidity
is also of interest,
ii.

Corps preferences expressed by recruits.
The preferences for corps reflects the desire of a member for
combat (e.g. prefers Armoured, Infantry, etc) or non-combat
(e.g. Ordnance, Catering, Band, Transport) roles, and are
therefore potentially valuable explanatory variables in
analysing the relationship between desire for Vietnam service
and subsequent morbidity.

The completeness of these data is

adequate, although not 100%.

52

�iii.

Referral for Psychological Opinion.
The referral of a soldier for psychological evaluation may
bear significantly on current morbidity and therefore such
data will be obtained.

Data from all three types of records will be transferred directly onto
a data entry sheet for ease of computer entry and analysis.

53

�STUDY PROTOCOL

4.

The outline of the design of the Morbidity Study is shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Overall Plan of the Morbidity Study

Development and testing
of examination procedures
(Section 4.9)

Subject selection
(Section 4.1)

I
I

Subject location and invitation
(Figures 2 and 3)

V

Search
Army
records
(Section 5)

Subject examination
(Figure 4)
reception
questionnaires
testing
physical examination
detailed testing of a sample

Record
data

Specialist r e f e r r a l
Option A
Section 4.5.11

Partner/wife location
(Figure 5)
Verification
of medical
data
(Section 4.10)

I
J
\

Data entry
(Section 6.1)

Specialist r e f e r r a l
Option B

Data analysis
(Section 6.2-6.5)

Report findings

54

Partner interview
(Section 4.6)

�4.1

Subjcct Selection
4.1.1

Definition of Veteran Status

A Vietnam veteran is a national serviceman who served at least 13
weeks who went to Vietnam within two years of enlistment during the
period of the war, irrespective of the duration of Vietnam service,
and who was discharged alive or survived for two years after
enlistment.

4.1.2

Definition of Control Status

A 'control' subject is a national serviceman who served at least 13
weeks, who did not go to Vietnam but was drafted in an intake from
which national servicemen were sent to Vietnam (June 1965 to February
1971) , and who was discharged alive or survived for two years after
enlistment.

4.1.3

Process of Subject Selection
Former Vietnam war period national servicemen only;
N.S.W enlistees only;
Date of original enlistment February 1971 or before;
Served at least 13 weeks;
Discharged alive or survived for 2 years post enlistment,
whichever occured first;
Randomly select a uniform proportion of veterans from all
intakes to yield 3,000 veterans;
Randomly select 2 controls for every 3 veterans from each
intake (to yield 2,000 controls);
Randomly allocate veterans and controls to 10 blocks, each
with 300 veterans and 200 controls;

�Blocks of subjects are invited to participate sequentially
until 5,000 subjects have been examined. For the subjects
within each block selected, full measures will be taken to
maximize the participation rate (see section 4.3).

4.2

Obtaining Current Address

Current addresses will be sought only for the 5,000 subjects selected.

1.

Current serving member of the army. Address from CARO and serving
unit. If not a current serving member, go to stage 2.

2.

Subjects names matched with computerised registers:
Current Electoral Register, and
N.S.W drivers licence register, and
S.A. drivers licence register, and
N.T. drivers licence register, and
Tas drivers licence register, and
(possibly) W.A. drivers licence register.
If a name matches and an address(es) is found, it is stored on the
study subject file.
If no match occurs go to stage 3.

3.

Subject whose names are unmatched after stage 2:
Names matched with manual registers:
QLD drivers licence register, and
Vic drivers licence register, and
Immigration and Ethnic Affairs 'arrivals and
departures' microfiche.
If a name matches and an address is found it is stored on the study
subject file.
Note;

Matching in stages 1,2, and 3 has been performed in the
Mortality Study.
56

�4.

Subjects whose names are unmatched after 3:
Names matched with:
Commercial credit bureaux and
Criminal Records Bureau (if available), and
Department of social Security files (if available).
If a name matches and an address is found it is stored on the study
subject file.

5.

If an address if found, yet subsequent tracing fails to locate the
subject, the name will be matched with those registers in stages 2,3
and 4 not yet used for that name.

This stage can only occur after an

attempt at initial contact has been made.
6.

Once an address has been found, telephone books and Telecom will be
consulted to obtain a home telephone number if required.
»

See Figure 2 for plan for obtaining subject addresses.

57

�Fiaurc 2

Name_ &amp; D.O.B.
"t-'~

f
'
•
Not Currently
Serving in Army

-.

^ Currently Serving
in Army^^

I

Address
exact
match

Computer Search of
Computerised
Matching Sources:

\
^
A
D
D
R
E
S
S

Elect. Roll/Mot. Req.

I

no match
1
f
Manual Search of
r&gt;mnmi4-ni- { r.~.A

-r*A
computer i sea ana

Manual Motor
Registries
F
I
L
E

I
noTO£i4"f'V'i
Ilw Ilia Ui^ii

SEARCH "
Immigration &amp; ^^
Ethnic Affairs

j
n

;

arrived:
address
available

not listed
Army Record:
Parents/N.O.K.

^ parent(s)

^

^ N.O.K. Address

^

1

UrM-4- al 'i t-\f

List 1

SEARCH

alive
Reaistrar(s)
General

^ name
change

^ Initiate Search

™" using New Name

»o name change

1
Other: V.A.

n

SEE FURTHER
k PROCEDURES
PROTOCOL

Cr\r* i A 1 Qof^
DOC laX DCt, .

Corr. Serv.
Def. Forces H. Corp
58

�4.3

Methods of Obtaining Compliance for Medical Examination
4.3.1

Contact Procedures

For each address obtained, a sequence of contacts will be made until
an appointment is made for the subject to attend for examination (see
Figure 3). A record will be kept of all attempts made to contact each
subject.

For subjects living in the country, telephone calls will be

substituted for personal visits.

Stage 1.
Sequence until contact made:
1st mailing - introductory letter followed by an appointment card.
2nd mailing - letter plus appointment card.
Telephoning (if possible)
Personal visit to enlist participation.
If no contact has been made with the subject go to stage 2A.

If contact has been made with the subject but he has not presented for
medical examination, go to stage 2B.

Stage 2A
Seek new address, firstly by visiting or telephoning the most recent
address found on register searching, and then if no contact is made,
seek another address on the registers (see section 4.2, stage 5).

Stage 2B
Contact subject again by telephone and make another appointment. If
2nd appointment not kept, or no telephone contact possible, make
personal visit to arrange appointment if the subject is a capital city
resident.

If the subject still fails to attend, see section

59

4.7.

�Figure 3

1

H3*? Subject Contact Procedures

KNOWN ADDRESS

Mail

1
1

Contact

Participation

Contact

Participation

Contact

Participation

no contact

1
no contact

1
I
1

Home Visit

no contact

Seek New
Address

60

�4.3.2

F_i ni a nc_i_a 1. ..Compe n ca t_i on

Full economy class return fares for travel between home and the
examination site by taxi, country train or aeroplane will be paid to
all subjects. Full compensation for lost earnings will be provided to
the subject or his employer upon receipt of appropriate documentary
evidence.

4.3.3

A_dd_i_ti_ona_l Means of Maximizing Compliance

A covering letter signed by the Minister for Veterans' Affairs will be
sent to all subjects, mentioning that the investigation is supported
by the leaders of the major political parties, the Returned
Servicemen's League and the Vietnam Veterans Association of Australia,
if such endorsement can be obtained.

Advertisements and feature

articles and programmes in the public media would be •
valuable.

4.4.

Outline of Design of Medical Examination

All subjects presenting for examination will undergo:-

V.D.U. questionnaire
Pencil and paper questionnaire
Neuropsychology and psychiatric screening tests
Blood and urine testing
Electrocardiogram, lung function test, chest x-ray, hearing and vision
test, height and weight measurement
Physical examination and evaluation by a doctor

See Figure 4 for plan for medical examination.

61

�Figure 4

Plan For Medical Examination

Reception

identification
list of current complaints

Blood and urine specimen collection

NEDICHECK Questionnaire (administered using Visual Display Unit)

Pencil and paper questionnaire

I

Neuropsychiatric screening

Additional tests:

ECG, CXR, spirometry, ht and wt, audiogram,
visual acuity

1
t
I

Checking of incomplete or inconsistent responses

Physician examination
and assessment

Neuropsychiatric
evaluation

Discharge

62

�High scorers on the neuropsychiatric screen plus a 10% random sample will
undergo detailed neuropsychiatric testing.

Under option A subjects with suspected undiagnosed gastroenterologic,
dermatologic or neurologic conditions will be referred to appropriate
co-operative specialists for full clinical evaluation.

Under option B, any

referrals for specialist opinion for research purposes will depend upon the
results of initial analyses of the morbidity profiles of veterans and controls
(see 4.5.11).

The current and previous wives/female partners will be interviewed by
telephone, and failing that will be interviewed at home or sent a pencil and
paper questionnaire, to be returned by mail.

Subjects who are located but do not present for examination will be asked to
complete as much of the questionnaire (all pencil and paper) as possible, and
give a blood and urine sample.

Subjects will be referred to their local doctors for management, where
indicated on clinical grounds.

4.5

Design of Examination Procedure for Subjects

MEDICHECK

4.5.1

component

Recept ion

Name taken and identified on subject list.

yes

Given written request to answer all questions as
honestly and completely as possible.

no

Given form to describe (unprompted) all current
complaints, with severity and duration.

63

no

�MED1CHECK
component
4.5.2

Blood and Urine

Samples taken

yes

Blood tests:
Biochemistry
Glucose, lipids, electrolytes, urea, creatinine

yes

Liver enzymes, serum protein

yes

Drug screen* - benzodiazepines, salicylate

no

Alcohol*

no

Microbiology
VDRL Screen*

no

Melioidosis and strongyloides serology*

no

Hepatitis B serology*:

no

1.

Core antibody - indicator of past
infection.

2.

Surface antigen if core antibody (+)
- indicator of current infection.

3.

Be antigen if surface antigen (+)
- indicator of infectiousness.

4.

Surface antibody if surface antigen (-)
- indicator of resolved infection.

Contractual arrangements with additional laboratories will be required
for these tests.

64

�MEDICHECK
component

Harmatology
Hb, MCV, MCHC

yes

WCC, ESR

yes

Platelet count

'

"

yes

Urine tests
Culture

yes

'Dipstix1 chemical testing - Hb, protein,
glucose, bilirubin, pH

yes

Additional serum for storage

4.5.3

no

MEDICHECK Questionnaire

yes

Questions in Yes or No format, will cover the following
areas:
Marital status
Job satisfaction block
Financial status/problems
Sleep/worry
Depression and state of mind
Drinking habits
Smoking habits
Exercise
Tablets
Bereavements and family history
Coronary symptoms
Leg pain symptoms
Heart beat/hypertension
Breathlessness, numbness, varicose veins

65

�MEDICHECK
component
Ankle oedema symptoms
Lung problems and diseases
Abdominal diseases and history
Sexual problems
VD end U/G history, infections, operations
Joint &amp; muscle pains/arthritis
Neurological symptoms
Skin disease and allergies
Vision and eye problems
Ear, nose and throat problems
Tropical diseases
Infections and miscellaneous diseases
»

The questionnaire will take up to 40 minutes to complete.

4.5.4

AVHS Questionnaire

no

Pencil and Paper Questionnaire:
Occupation, employment
Education
Marital and offspring history
Wife/partner identification
Reasons for Vietnam/non-Vietnam service
Combat experience
Combat injuries
Alcohol and tobacco consumption - diary
Chemical exposure in Vietnam
Exposure to noxious substances

66

�MEDICHECK
component

Other drug consumption including tea and coffee
Medical and hospital consultations
- reasons, when, duration, name and address.
Medical record release
Herbicide exposure in Australia

4.5.5

Keuro-Psychiatric Screen

Interview by clinical psychologist, assessing psychiatric

no

pathology using the Present State Examination (PSE) ,
assessing post traumatic stress disorder, interpersonal
relationships, and psychological well-being.
Tests of psychological functioning, given to all subjects:
AVHS schedule of life events
Eysenck Personality Inventory
Army Self Description Inventory
Symbol-Digit Modalities Test
Supra-Span Digit Learning Test
Trail Making Test
Nelson Adult Reading Test
Army Speed and Accuracy Test.

4.5.6

Additional Tests
Electrocardiogram

yes

Chest x-ray

yes

Spirometry

yes

Audiogram

yes

Visual acuity

yes

Height and weight

yes
67

�While these tests are being performed, the AVHS questionnaire and
ncuropsychiatric screen will be checked for completeness and
consistency of answers, and the neuropsychiatric tests will be scored,
to determine whether the subject needs further psychiatric or
neuropsychological testing as a 'high scorer1.

If incomplete or inconsistent answers are detected, the interviewer
will ask the subject to correct his answers at the end of the
'Additional Tests' section.

4.5.7

Doctors Examination and Evaluation

The examining doctor will have the results of the MEDICHECK
questionnaire and the AVHS questionnaire, and will seek further
information from the subject to guide his/her clinical formulation of
the subject's morbidity.

Physical examination will be directed toward arriving at a conclusion
about problems suggested by the questionnaires and the history. In
addition, examination will be directed toward detecting abnormalities
in the following areas:
Skin
Hepatosplenomegaly
Neurological screening examination
Thoracic auscultation
Legs ~ vascular, reflexes, sensation
Blood pressure
Auditory canals and tympanic membranes (to facilitate
interpretation of audiogram)

68

�Blood pressure measurement and ear examination could be performed by
technicians.

The doctor will then record all physical signs found and his clinical
impression in the form of differential diagnoses, with confidence
ratings. Three days later, when the results of pathology tests are
available, he will have an opportunity to reassess and modify or add
to his list of possible conditions.

4.5.8

Detailed ^euro-psychiatric Assessment.

Subjects who are "high scorers' on the neuropsychiatric screen plus a
10% random sample will undergo detailed neuropsychiatric assessment
consisting of both pencil and paper tests:
Hostility Questionnaire
Spielberger Anxiety Scale
Depression Questionnaire.

4.5.9

Specialist Referral

Two options have been identified with respect to specialist referral:

Option A;

If, in the opinion of the examining doctor, a neurological

or gastroenterological condition is suspected, he will be referred to
specialists who have agreed to co-operate with AVHS. The specialist
will carry out a full evaluation as warranted by the subject's
symptoms and signs.

If, in the opinion of the examining doctor, a subject has an unusual
skin condition, or if any doubt exists about the diagnosis of a skin

69

�condition, the subject will be referred to a dermatologist for
consultation.

Option^ B; At the stage of data analysis the frequencies of
disabilities will be compared for veterans and controls. If, after
adjusting for the relevant confounding variables (e.g. alcohol
consumption in the case of liver disease), an apparent excess in
veterans is evident, the affected veterans and controls will be
identified on the subject file. Within this group, samples of
veterans and controls with no obvious clinical explanation for their
examination findings will be referred to the appropriate specialist
for full clinical evaluation.

The arrangement between AVHS and specialists will provide for a full
report to be sent to AVHS with regard to every subject referred.

4.5.10 Local Doctor Referral
If, in the opinion of the examining doctor a subject has a condition
requiring treatment he will be advised to consult his local doctor
immediately.

With the prior approval of each subject, his medical report (including
specialist reports, if applicable) will be sent to his local doctor.

4.6

Information From Wife/Female Partner
4.6.1

Definition

A partner will be any woman who has cohabited with the subject for at
least 12 months, or who became pregnant while cohabiting for a lesser
period. Thus each subject could have more than one partner.

70

�4.6.2

Ver_if_ication of Address

All subjects will be asked to provide the full names, dates of birthf
telephone numbers and current addresses of their partners, if known.
For partners where the address is unknown, it will be sought on the
Electoral Register microfiche, and then telephone number sought in
telephone directories (see Figure 5).

71

"

�4.6.3

Figure 5

J

Plan for Partner Follow-up

KNOWN ADDRESS

Telephone

Participation

Contact

J

no contact

1
J

Participation

Mail

no contact

Home Visit..

Seek Participation

Contact

1
no contact

1
Seek New
Address

72

�4.6.4

Questionnaire

A structured telephone interview will seek the following information,
for the most recent pregnancy and then for any other pregnancies going
back in time:
Mothers date of birth.
Outcome of pregnancy
Difficulties with the pregnancy.

(If yes, year and name of

treating doctor or hospital).
Miscarriages leading to curettage in hospital.

(If yes, year

and name of treating doctor).
For each child biologically fathered by the subject:
sex and birthdate
Congenital anomalies or death (If yes, year

and name of

treating doctor) .

A medical record release will be sent to participating partners for
signature and return by mail.

4.7

Follow-Up of Non-Complying Subjects
4.7.1

Additional Strategies for Obtaining Compliance.

If a subject fails to present for examination after 3 appointments
have been made, or, if at an earlier stage he expresses a desire not
to present for examination, he will be contacted at home and a
modified health evaluation performed. This contact will be by
telephone if the subject lives in the country or personal visit
(initially) if the subject lives in Sydney, or the capital city of
another State.

73

�ESllow-up of Non-Complying Subjects

Figure 6

Appointmont made

Appointment kept

End of follow-up

^.Appointment kept

End of follow-up

Appointment not kept

i
J

2nd and 3rd appointment
made
Appointment not kept

State
capital city
resident

Able to be
contacted by
telephone?

Country .
resident

\
No

Yes

&gt;me visit to
.e appointment

X

\

Telephone
interview

Appointment kept

i
Appointment
not kept

Pencil and
paper
questionnaire

1

\

Returned?

End of
follow-up

T

1'

/
7
/

Yes,
/
/

End of

End of

follow-up

follow-up

No

"&lt;

2nd
questionnaire
sent

I

Home visit for
interview and
sample collection

Returned?
No

End of
follow-up

Reminder
letter

4

End of
follow-up

�4.7.2

He a 1J h Evaluation Modified for Home Administration.

List of current complaints
VDU questionnaire in pencil and paper format
AVHS questionnaire
Neuropsychiatric screen
Reasons for reluctance to co-operate

If nurse available:
Blood samples
Urine sample
Blood pressure measurement

4.7.3

Hierarchy of Data to be Sought

Data will be elicited in a particular order so that if the subject
becomes reluctant to continue at any point the most critical data will
have been gathered. A suggested sequence is given below but this will
be modified in the light of experience with initial home interviews.

Order of precedence:
Blood pressure measurement
List of current complaints
Combat exposure (veterans only)
Reasons for Vietnam/non-Vietnam service
Sleep/worry
Depression and state of mind
Drinking habits
Smoking habits
Tablets
Marital status

75

�Job satisfaction
Medical and hospital consultations
Medical record release
Neuropsychiatric screening
Social adaptation
Family coherence
Behavioural

Education
Occupation, employment
Neurological symptoms

Abdominal diseases and history
Skin diseases and allergies
The remainder of the MEDICHECK questionnaire
The remainder of the AVHS questionnaire
Blood samples
Urine sample

4.8

Follow-up of Non-Complying Wives/Female Partners
4.8.1

Additional Strategies for Obtaining Compliance

Partners not able to be contacted by telephone will be visited at home
if residents of a State capital city, and failing that, will be sent a
pencil and paper questionnaire. Partners failing to return a
questionnaire will be sent another, and then a reminder letter.

4.8.2

Suggested Hierarchy of Data to be Sought

Order of precedence:
Sex and birthdate of all children
Death of children

76

�Miscarriages leading to curettage in hospital
Difficulties with pregnancies
Mother's date of birth
For each occurrence:
when
name and address of institution or treating doctor
Medical record release

4.8.3

Data Not Able to be Obtained

All data not obtained due to poor compliance will be coded to indicate
this.

4.9

Pilot Testing of Medical Examination

The components of the routine MEDICHECK evaluation that are being retained
will not require specific pilot testing.

The AVHS questionnaires for subjects

and wives/partners will be tested on a small sample of men and women (not
study subjects) prior to the commencement of the medical examinations to
detect and overcome any ambiguities or problems which might arise during
questionnaire administration. The sources of men and women for pilot testing
have not yet been determined.

The physician assessment will be pilot tested by MEDICHECK doctors prior to
commencement of AVHS medical examinations, and the comments provided by the
doctors used to modify both the physical examination protocol and the
documents used to record clinical findings and judgments.

Following this, it is intended to operate the examination centre for a 1 or 2
week period initially, to determine how long the various components of the
examination take, how many subjects will keep a first appointment and to

77

�discover any logistic or organizational problems.

This examination period

will be followed by a 1 or 2 week break, while solutions are found to the
problems revealed by the initial run. Following this, the examination centre
will commence full scale operation.

4.10

Verifying Data in Medical Records

All medical data volunteered by subjects or partners that is accompanied by
the name of a treating doctor or hospital and signed release form will be
verified.

A letter giving the reported complaint and time of occurence will be sent to
the relevant doctor or hospital with a request for substantiation of the
condition and for the provision of more accurate or clarifying information.

The verified data will not be used to replace data volunteered by the subject*
but will be retained for complementary analyses.

78

�5.

ADDITIONAL DATA FRQM_ARMY ^SOURCES

5.1

Caro Dossier

Verification of:

Dates of birth, enlistment, discharge
Veteran/control status

Corps
Civil education
Vietnam postings data

Obt a in:

Australian posting data
Special courses completed
Disciplinary offences
Promotions
Volunteer/ballotee

5.2

Central Medical Record

Verify:
Enlistment and discharge PULHEEMS (Army health rating APPENDIX 2)

Obtain:
From enlistment medical examination:
Weight, height
Significant past medical history
PULHEEMS

Hospital admissions:
site (e.g. Vietnam, Australia)

79

�type of pathology (trauma - combat/non combat, sexually
transmitted disease, other infection, drug induced,
psychiatric, other stress-related,)
duration of admission

From discharge medical examination:
PULHF.EMS

5.3

P_sychology Record Cards

Obtain:
All test results
Corps preferences - 1st, 2nd, 3rd.
Referrals - reason (application for course or promotion, disciplinary
problem, psychological problem).
- date.

80

�6

•

6.1

DATA ASSESSMENT AND ANALYSIS

HaJr.£L Acqui si t ion and Vertical ion

Baseline information from the MRCC tape has been checked for logical
inconsistencies, and where possible, for inconsistences with the CARD tape.
As error emerged, they have been checked against original dossiers in CARO.

Follow-up information, including last known address will be stored on computer
disc file and verified against the original source documents.

This

information will be used as a basis for a master file which will be used to
record the appointment and compliance history of each subject. A parallel
file will be developed for the corresponding information on wives and female
partners.

Combat exposure information will be derived from manual searching of army
records, and the reliability of coding, punching and verification will be
established during pilot studies and spot checks of the final data set.

Verification of veteran/control status is essential.

For some individuals on

the MRCC tape there were logical inconsistencies - eg "veterans" with periods
of service which were far too short for them to have served in Vietnam. This
suggested that there are errors on the tape, either in relation to veteran
status and/or in relation to duration of army service.

All inconsistent

records have been checked manually and manual spot checks will be made of
other "self-consistent" computer records to assess the accuracy of the
remaining information on the MRCC tape.

81

�Furthermore, if at the time of interview there is a conflict between the
reports of the subject ("I went to Vietnam") and the computer record ("he is a
control"), the details will be returned to CARD for clarification. Final data
will be coded according to the correct (CARO) classification.

Interview information will be obtained from computerised MEDICHECK records,
from AVHS pencil and paper questionnaire, from psychiatric questionnaires,
neuropsychology assessments and physician assessments. The reliability of
coding, punching and verification will be established during pilot studies and
spot checks of the final data set.

6.2

Adequacy and Utility of Morbidity Study Data

6.2.1

Comparability of Follow-up of Veterans and Controls

As shown in Table 3.3, there is suggestive evidence that the
proportion of NSW veterans found on the Electoral Register (78%) is
less than the proportion of controls (81%); furthermore, of those
found on the register, the proportion of veterans presently living
outside NSW, (12%) was greater than the proportion of contols (9%).
These differences may reflect differences between veterans and
controls in relation to socio-economic factors, employment and social
mobility.

It should be noted that the men who will be most difficult to trace
(namely those men who are single, divorced, separated, itinerant,
unemployed, or alcoholic) are most likely to be at greatest risk of
disability.

Thus in order to minimise any bias between veteran and

control families arising from incomplete follow-up, it will be

82

�important to reduce the number of untraced men in both groups to an
absolute minimum.

Some idea of the magnitude of bias arising from incomplete follow-up
could be obtained by looking to see how the morbidity of each veteran
and control subject varies with the amount of follow-up required to
trace him (i.e. was his address found in a primary, secondary or other
source) .

6.2.2. Complicance Rates for Veteran and Control Subjects
Even if the follow-up is adequate for both veteran and control
subjects (e.g. 95% or more followed to their most recent address), the
results of the morbidity assessments could still be biased if there
were a difference between veteran and control rates of compliance with
the interview. The most likely bias would be for veteran subjects
with a disability to be more compliant than control subjects with a
disability.

After maximising the compliance rate, the magnitude of any residual
bias could be assessed by comparing the morbidity profiles of veteran
and control subjects according to whether they attended the first,
second or third appointment.

These data can also be compared with the

(incomplete) data obtained from non-compilers at a home interview.

If

the morbidity patterns do vary according to level of compliance
(appointment) then this can be adjusted for (at least in part) during
the analysis of the results.

83

�6.2.3

Subjectivity of Self Reported Information

A major source of potential "bias" is that self reports from veterans
are likely to be influenced by an expectation of disability which is
greater than that of non-veterans. This tendency, whether it is
conscious or sub-conscious, could be so general that it could lead to
quite marked differences between veterans and controls in the
prevalence of symptoms related to many different disabilities.

The potential for such bias will lead to major problems in the
interpretation of all subjective information collected in the course
of this morbidity study. Similar problems of interpretation have been
encountered in assessing the symptoms of "effort syndrome" and "combat
syndrome" in servicemen from previous wars, and in assessing symptoms
associated with "compensation neurosis" after injury at work or in
road accidents.

There are several approaches to this problem of interpretation.

It

may be appropriate to accept the reality of the symptoms, as such, and
to explain them as being consequent on the psychogenic stimulus (of
the war). This interpretation is, of course, more plausible if the
symptoms can be identified as components of a depressive syndrome, an
anxiety reaction or if they can plausibly be identified as somatic
equivalents of psychogenic origin.

In some circumstances the physical

findings may support a functional diagnosis (eg tachycardia, sweating
and hyperventilation if otherwise unexplained), and in other
circumstances the functional origin of symptoms is supported by their

84

�pjpomorphic or protean nature, and by their failure to fit an organic
syndrome. However, the functional or psychogenic origin of symptoms
should only be accepted after steps have been taken to exclude an
organic or biologic basis for the symptoms.

An organic basis can be suggested by the pattern of symptoms: thus if
a veteran complains of chronic productive cough, shortness of breath
on exertion and give a history of heavy smoking, we would be justified
in suspecting the presence of chronic obstructive airways disease.
This could be confirmed by physical examination or by objective
testing.

The presence of dissimulation or malingering might be suspected if
there were a constellation of plausible symptoms, together with an
absence of supportive objective signs.

In some subjects it may be

possible to suspect dissimulation if there is a high score on the
social desirability scale administered as part of the psychological
assessment.

However, in general it will be necessary to assume that all symptoms
are real, to analyse the contexts in which the symptoms are found, and
to look to the epidemiological data, the physical examination and
objective tests to provide clues about the physical disabilities which
may underlie the symptoms.

In the context of this study, the analysis of subjective information
is made easier by the fact that we are not necessarily required to
make judgments about the physical bases of symptoms in individual
veterans; it will suffice to show that in veterans as a group, such

85

�and such a symptom complex is associated with objective signs of
disease significantly more often than in similar groups of control
subjects.

For those symptom complexes which are not supported by objective
measures, the symptoms might be provisionally identified as being of
functional or psychogenic origin. However, if these symptoms are
found to be more frequent in veterans, and specifically if they are
correlated with measures of combat exposure or herbicide exposure,
then they can plausibly be regarded as real effects of war service.
Certainly, if any functional syndrome is associated (see 6.5) with a
measurable outcome which is more frequently observed in veterans (e.g.
more frequent divorce) then it should probably be counted as one of
the real hazards of army service.

6.2.4

Objective Measures

Several objective measures are available.

For example, lung function

testing will provide an objective test for chronic obstructive airways
disease, biochemical tests on plasma will provide objective evidence
of abnormalities of liver function and help to detect heavy drinkers.
Objective tests are also available for the detection of past hepatitis
B infection and for the detection of past syphilitic infection.
Neuropsychological tests for the detection of brain damage and
neurophysiological test of nerve function can also be regarded as
objective.

The importance of these objective tests is not that they will provide
a definitive medical diagnosis in their own right, but rather that
they can provide independent support for disabilities which might be

86

�suspected from the pattern of symptoms and from signs reported by the
examining physician. As argued in the previous section, although this
objective support might not be evident in every case with symptoms, it
should be sufficient to show whether, as a group, veterans symptoms
are significantly associated with objective measures more often than
in similar groups of control subjects.

Because of the importance of objective measures, and because of the
need to make inferences about the whole population of veterans and
controls, we have argued that objective measures should be included
either:

(i)

for all veterans and controls, or

(ii)

for randomly selected veterans and controls, plus those who
have a clinical indication or those who fail a screening test.

6.2.5

Face Validity of Medical Diagnosis Made by a Physician

Medical diagnoses made by a physician must be accorded face validity,
because the practice of diagnosis is defined in terms of the judgment
of the physician.

This is not to say that a judgment of a physician

is necessarily reliable and objective, but as it is based on a
contextual analysis of symptoms, physical signs and the results of
special tests (gestalt), it provides an assessment of the meaning of
the data which can be obtained in no other way.

Nevertheless, because a physician's judgments are subject to error, it
is important to consider the possibility that there may be a
systematic bias in diagnostic accuracy between veteran and control
subjects. Such a bias could invalidate any conclusions which were

87

�based on physician judgments. To minimise this bias in the pilot
study, a decision was made to "blind" the physician carrying out the
physical examination to the veteran status of each subject and to the
results of the medical history (and vice versa). As a result, the
judgments made by the physicians were out of context, and they were
less helpful than might otherwise have been expected.

It would be

unwise to separate the assessments of symptoms and physical signs in
the proposed morbidity study, although it would be desirable to try to
maintain "blinding" of the physician to the veteran status of each
subject during the examination.

However, regardless of the precautions taken, it is unreasonable to
suppose that the physician will always remain ignorant of the veteran
status of each subject; accordingly it will be impossible to always
exclude physician bias as an explanation for (minor) differencies in
the frequency of certain diagnoses in veteran and control groups.

This conclusion is not as gloomy as it sounds, in that it will be
possible to test some of the medical diagnoses made by the physician
against objective data which are free from bias. For example, suppose
that on the basis of physicians' dignoses, the frequency of alcoholic
liver disease appears to be higher in veteran than in control
subjects.

This difference could be real, or it could be a result of a

systematic bias in the physicians assessments. However, if the
objective tests of liver function show more abnormalities in veterans
than controls, this would suggest that the difference in diagnostic
frequency reflected a real difference in disease frequency, and not
just a diagnostic artefact.

88

�On the basis of this example, it might be argued that it would be wise
to discard the physicians' judgments and to rely on objective tests
alone. Such a policy would be misguided, for several reasons:

(i)

Objective tests are not available for all organ systems.

(ii)

Although objective tests can identify the organ system
involved (eg liver), additional information is usually neded
before an aetiological diagnosis can be made.

(iii)

Physician judgments are based on contextual clues, and on an
"intuitive" synthesis of the available information. It is not
possible to automate this synthetic function of the physician,
if only because of the difficulty of capturing and codifying
all the observations upon which his judgments are based. Any
attempt to use the physician merely as an "observer" would be
misguided, because it is impossible to separate "observation"
from "theory" (contextual analysis and selective aquisition of
data to test provisional diagnoses) in the course of medical
diagnosis.

(iv)

The face validity of physicians judgments is widely accepted,
both in the medical and in the lay mind. Thus a study which
ignored the opinions of physicians could lack credibility in
the eyes of the community.

6.2.6

Data From Wives and Female Partners

Data from wives and female partners will be obtained via telephone,
face-to-face interview or written questionnaire to assess pregnancy
outcomes, birth defects and children's health.

The data will suffer

from subjective bias and selective recall, and even if there is no

89

�real difference, these results could suggest that there is a greater
frequency of disability in the families of veterans than in the
families of control subjects.

Several strategies can be used to assess the validity of these
subjective responses.

The first is to verify the reported medical

condition or event (eg stillbirth, birth defect, curettage for
miscarriage) with the medical attendant or hospital authorities. This
procedure is adequate as far as it goes, but it suffers from the
defect that it is not possible to verify an event which has been
forgotten or not reported in the first place.

Thus, even using an

outcome criterion such as hospital admission for miscarriage, it will
not be possible to exclude the possiblity of selective bias in recall
between veteran and control wives.

The potential for biased will be

even greater for those (early) miscarriages which did not result in a
hospital admission.

Hospital admissions occuring after 1978 are also likely to be subject
to bias because of the publicity, from 1979 onwards, surrounding the
alleged effects of herbicides. There is less likely to be bias for
hospital admissions occuring before 1979.

For those outcome conditions which leave a more or less permanent
trace (eg surviving children with birth defects or spasticity) the
validity of the wife's responses could be assessed, in part, by
arranging for a follow-up medical examination of the children
affected.

This could undoubtedly confirm the diagnoses in the (most

severly) affected children, but it would not exclude the possibility

90

�of bias in the initial reporting. For example, it is plausible that
there would be less incentive for the wife of a control subject to
report the presence of a disability in one of her children, and such a
child, if unreported, would be missed from the follow-up study.

6.3

Hypotheses to be Tested

6.3.3

Descript ivc Hypotheses

The null hypothesis is that there are no differences in the frequency
of disabilities between Vietnam veterans and controls (national
servicemen who did not go to Vietnam). This null hypotheses will be
tested against each of the following alternative hypotheses:

(i)

That social and behavioural disabilities (unemployment,
separation, divorce, motor accidents, alcohol abuse) are more
frequent in veterans than in controls,

(ii)

That anxiety, depression and other psychiatric disabilities
are more frequent in veterans than in controls,

(iii)

That disorders of the nervous system (including
neuropsychological disorders) are more frequent in veterans
than controls,

(iv)

That liver disorders are more frequent in veterans than
controls,

(v)

That gastro-intestinal disorders are more frequent in veterans
than controls,

(vi)

That skin disorders are more frequent in veterans than
controls,

(vii)

That infertility, miscarriage or childhood disability or death
have been more frequent in the families of veterans than in
the families of controls.

91

�6.3.2

Actiological Hypotheses

In the event that one (or more) of these disabilities is more
frequently observed in veterans (or their wives and offspring), it
will be necessary to explore the causal basis of the difference(s)
observed. The following hypotheses need to be considered:

(i)

That for self-reported symptoms or disabilities, an apparent
excess in veterans (or their wives) might be caused by bias
between the subjective responses of veteran and control
subjects.

(ii)

That an excess of some disabilities in veterans might be
caused by non-comparability of the original groups of veterans
and controls (eg in age, education, socio-economic status, and
predisposition to subsequent disability),

(iii)

That an excess of some disabilities in veterans night be
caused by the physical and psychosocial sequelea of war
service and combat stress,

(iv)

That an excess of alcohol abuse in veteran, itself
attributable to war service, might contribute to any observed
excess of social, behavioural and physical disabilities,

(v)

That an excess of some disabilities might be caused by
herbicide exposure in Vietnam,

(vi)

Than an excess of other disabilities (e.g. tuberculosis,
strongyloides, VD) might be caused by other aspects of Vietnam
service.

92

�6.4

Outcgmc_Measures_ to be Used

6.4.1

Keed for Simplicity

As the protocol calls for the collection of a large amount of
information, it is essential to specificy, a priori, a simple set of
outcome measures which can be easily used to test the principal
hypotheses of interest.

Such a scheme is outlined in Table 6. It can be seen that most
emphasis is placed on those outcome measures which are valid and
unambiguous, potentially relevant and reliably measured.
Consequently, at the primary stage of analysis most attention will be
paid to objective measures, to physician assessments and to subjective
self-reports using psychiatric scales which have been well validated.

93

�Table 6

Major Outcome Measures and Covariates To Be Used In Testing
Principal Alternative Hypothesis

ALTERNATIVE
HYPOTHESES
Veterans will
show an
increased
frequency of:

1. Social
disability

MAJOR OUTCOME MEASURES

MOST IMPORTANT
CONFOUNDING FACTORS
AND COVARIATES
(in additions to age,
Vietnam exposures to
combat, herbicides,
etc.)

Employment/unemployment
Level (status) of employment

Pre-enlistment
education level,
Pre-enlistment
psychological
assessment

Ever married/single
Divorced, separated/Presently
married
Frequency of marital disputes

Number of children
Religion

Substance
use and
abuse

Alcohol use (GGT, urate, MCV)
Cigarette use
Teas and coffee use
Other drug use

Marital stutus
S.E.S.

Behavioural
disability

Uncontrollable rages
Motor accidents
Fighting at hotel/football etc
Sexual problems

Marital
disability

2. Psychiatric
disability

SDI score

O mfc• b •

Marital Status
S «E • S •

Alcohol consumption
5 • £• • o •

Depression (Hamilton
scale)
Anxiety (Spielberger)
Present state examination
Prevalence of
psychoactive drug use

Scores
and
components

3. Neur©psychologic
disability

Symbol digit substitution Scores
S.E.S
Trail making tests
and
Alcohol consumption
Supra-span digit learning components
Nelson adult reading test

4. Neurological
disability

Physician assessment of
- peripheral neuritis &amp;
nerve conditions studies
- other neurological disability
Nerve conduction deafness

Alcohol
Occupation history
(Patency of external
ear)

5. Liver
disease

Liver enzymes
Physician assessment of liver
disease

Alcohol consumption
Hepatitis B

94

�6. Cardiovascular
disability

Blood pressure
ECG abnormalities - individual items
and components
Physician assessment - angina

Cigarettes
Alcohol

- myocardial
infarction
- stroke
- palpitations
Plasma cholesterol
7. Infectious
disease

Hepatitis B virus serology
Tuberculosis - CXR report
Melioidosis antibody titre
Strongyloides antibody titre
Venereal disease - VDRL

8. Gastrointestinal
disease

Physicians assessment
irritable bowel syndrome
- diarrhoea
- ulcerative colitis

9. Skin
disorders

Physicians assessment

10. Other
symptoms

A.

Symptom complexes, specified
jj priori, which are potentially
relevant to particular outcomes
(above)

B.

component or factor analyses
of symptoms to define their
latent structure. These
components can then be used
as outcome measures to look
for differences between
veterans and controls.

Alcohol consumption

Veteran wives
partners have
an increased
frequency of;
1. Infertility

Complaints of inability to conceive
No. of pregnancies
No. of live-born children

2. Miscarriage

Verified miscarriage resulting in hospitalization prior to
1979.

3. Birth defects
spasticity

Verified birth defect and/or spasticity in child born prior
to 1979

4. Stillbirth

Verified still birth

5. Health
disability
in surviving
children

Verified hospitalisation of child prior to 1979

95

�6.4.2

Need for Date Reduction

Some of the outcome measures are simple and unambiguous (eg marital
status). Others, such as the psychiatric scales contain numerous
items which measure several different components, are relevant to
psychiatric disability. The dimensions of these more complex outcome
measures can be reduced by calculating, for each individual studied, a
score on each of the known components.

These component scores (e.g.

for depression, anxiety and somatic symptoms) can then be used as
measures to test for any differences in outcome between veteran and
control subjects.

In other situations (e.g. with the neuropsychology tests) it may be
more appropriate to use the data obtained in the study (from pooled
cases and controls to avoid bias) to define the components of
interest. Component scores in the reduced number of dimensions can
then be used to test for any differences between veterans and controls.

6.4.3

Approach to the Analysis of Subjective Self Reports

Interpretation of subjective information presents many problems, and
in sec. 6.2.3 some guidelines are given which should be helpful. In
particular, it will often be wise to discount any disabilities for
which the symptoms are not supported by objective data or physician
assessments.

In some circumstances (Table 6) it will be possible to define, a_
priori, those self-reported symptoms which are deemed to be relevant
to particular outcomes (e.g. the questions defining coronary heart

96

�disease). Scores on these symptom patterns can then be used as
outcome measures which should be complementary to those based on
objective measures or physician assessments.

Another approach is to use the self-reported information itself to
explore the factors or components giving rise to the observed
variation. Thus it should be appropriate to subject the entire
response matrix to factor and/or component analysis.

If "expectation

of disability" or "response bias" is an important cause of variation
in response pattern (i.e. if many people tend to say yes to many
symptoms) then this would be reflected in the identification of a
"disability factor" which loads for most of the questions. The
residual factors or components would then help to identify patterns of
symptoms which are not simply due to "general disability" or "response
bias" but which are likely to be more useful as potential outcome
measures.

6.5

Principles of Statistical Analysis
6.5.1

The Problem

The major objective of the analysis is to examine the relationship of
the several outcome measures to veteran status, to measures of
exposure in Vietnam, and to those explanatory covariates which may be
confounded with Vietnam service or with exposure while in Vietnam.

The interpretation of morbidity study results would be moderately
straghtforward if the allocation of national servicemen to Vietnam
service had been completely at random (rather than being haphazardly
selective, as was the case), if there had been no mortality while in
Vietnam, and if there were no selective compliance with the proposed

97

�interview schedules.

If this were the case, then any observed

differences between the veteran and control subjects could be
interpreted, at least in a very general sense, as being caused by the
Vietnam experience. On this view, even the most subjective of self
reported symptoms (see Sec. 6.2.3) could be attributed to the Vietnam
experience acting through functional or psychogenic processes or
through a (conscious or subconscious) desire for compensation.

Unfortunately, because of non-random allocation to Vietnam, selective
mortality and the likelihood of selective compliance, the veteran and
control subjects studied will differ for reasons which may not be
logically consequent on Vietnam service; therefore, much of the
statistical analysis will be directed towards examining the effects of
the variables which are confounded with Vietnam service.

This will

allow assessment of the effects of Vietnam service on outcome to be
made which have been adjusted for the effects of confounding variables.

6.5.2

Basic Approaches to Analysis

Because of the non-experimental design, it will be most appropriate to
fit regression models to the data, using the outcome measures as the
dependent variable.

For those situations where the outcome variable is qualitative and
binary, it would be appropriate to use a logistic regression model
(Cox, 1970; Breslow and Day, 1980) , and for those situations where the
outcome variables is quantitiative, the basic approach will be that of
standard multiple regression (Draper and Smith, 1966).

98

�The advantage of the regression approach is that it provides a
flexible method for dealing with confounding and for estimating the
main effects (and interactions) of explanatory variables. This is
achieved at the cost of making assumptions about linear effects and
about the distribution of residuals. As required, these assumptions
can be tested or relaxed at a later stage of the analysis.

In some situations it may be appropriate to fit mixed models for the
analysis of covariance to allow for the effects of factors which are
related to outcome but which have random rather than fixed effects
(Sokal and Rolf, 1972).

In other situations, with qualitative outcome data and qualitative
explanatory variables, it would be appropriate to use log-linear
models for the analysis of multidimensional contingency tables (Bishop
et al, 1975; GLIM manual - Baker and Nelder, 1978).

For those outcome measures which are measured on random samples
(because of the hierarchical design) the analyses will be modified
accordingly. Special procedures will be developed to use data from
the "random" samples and the "extreme value" samples to make efficient
estimates about the distribution of the outcome measures over the
entire population studied and to find the most efficient procedures
for testing fcr differencies in outcome related to veteran status.

6.5.3

Confounding variables can be regarded as (nuisance) variables

which have (potential) effects on outcome, and which are
•accidentally" correlated with the main factor of interest (veteran
status) and logically independent or antecedent in the causal chain.

99

�For example, age is likely to be confounded with veteran status in the
present study.

Thus because morbidity will be higher in older men, there could, due
to confounding, be an artefactual association between morbidity and
veteran status. - The appropriate analysis is to first fit a model
which includes only the confounding variable(s) (age) and then to fit
the factor of interest (veteran status). The test for improvement in
fit then provides a measure of the significance of the factor after
allowing for the effect of the confounding variable.

In practice, it

will be necessary to allow for the effects of a number of confounding
variables, although care is needed to ensure that variables which are
secondary to veteran status are not treated as if they were
confounding variables.

Effects of interactions can also be estimated.

For example, consider

the hypothesis that any effect of Vietnam service on subsequent
morbidity was greater in men who where older at the time that they
went to Vietnam. This hypothesis can be tested by first fitting the
main effect of age at time of service (as a confounding variable) and
then fitting the main effect of veteran status; the third term (age x
veteran status interaction) will provide a test of the required
hypothesis.

At least in principle, it is also possible to allow for non linear
(quadratic) effects of covariates.

100

�6.5.4

Strategy of Model Fitting

After the descriptive stage has been completed, it will be important
to first fit a model vhich includes all necessary confounding terms
(age, educational attainment, religion etc) without regard to veteran
status, exposure indices etc.

It also seems plausible to allow some

degree of overfitting for these confounding variables.

Next it will be appropriate to fit (sequentially) the effects related
to Vietnam service (veteran status, time in Vietnam, combat exposure)
and to retain any significant effects in the model.

Thirdly it will be appropriate to look for interactions of these
service related variables with the (confounding) explanatory variables
(eg age x Vietnam service).

6.5.5

Incompleteness of Adjustments for Confounding Factors

If there is an apparent effect of Vietnam service on morbidity which
is partly removed when confounding factors are fitted beforehand, it
will be necessary to seriously consider the possiblity that the
Vietnam effect might have been removed completely if it had been
possible to measure the confounding factor(s) more precisely (R. Peto,
1973). For example, if a pre-Vietnam measure (eg psychological
assessment at induction) were found to be predictive of outcome and
also to be confounded with veteran status, then it might be found to
"explain away" a considerable proportion of any effect of Vietnam
service.

As there is always considerable error associated with the

measurement of such psychological scales, it can be argued that a more
precisely measured scale might have "explained away* a greater
proposition of the observed effect. This qualitative argument could

101

�be made somewhat more precise if data were available on scale
reliability and validity.

6.5.6

Problems Arising from Non-orthogonality and Confounding

It is important to remember that there may be particular problems in
elucidating the significance for outcome of factors-vhich-are
confounded with Vietnam service. For example, national servicemen
were selected for Vietnam service (either by the army or by
themselves), so that veterans will differ from controls for a number
of factors, only some of which will have been measured.

Consider a factor which is measurable and has been measured (e.g.
psychological scale at army induction); furthermore, suppose that
Vietnam service is selected partly on the basis of this factor ("they
»

make good soldiers"). Given this state of affairs, how are we to
interpret the relationships between Vietnam service, the "confounding"
factor, and outcome? The problems arises, in part, because the
measured factor is, in one sense, a cause of Vietnam service, and
hence some of the outcome which might be attributable to Vietnam
service would, in any convential analysis, be partly attributed to the
measured factor because it is a logically prior "confounding" factor
and should be fitted first.

Thus if we simply adopt the policy of fitting only main effects and of
fitting the confounding effect first, we could increase the risk of a
Type II error (i.e. of missing a real effect of Vietnam service). To
minimise the risk of such Type II errors it will be important to
always examine the interaction terms between Vietnam service and each
of the "confounding" factors which have a significant main effect on

102

�outcome. For example, we would always be interested to know whether,
after adjusting for main effects of Vietnam service and (say) the
confounding (psychological) factor, there is a significant 2 way
interaction effect on outcome.

If there is such a significant

interaction, then we are justified in concluding that both factors
have real (causal) effects, even though the main effect of Vietnamservice may appear to be non-significant.

Thus by fitting such interaction terms it is possible to reduce the
Type II error rate with respect to detection of effects related to
Vietnam service.

It might be argued that an alternative strategy would be to fit the
effect for Vietnam service before that for the confounding factor, or
at the least to allow the effects to compete with each other at the
same stage of model-fitting. Although these issues are complex, it is
generally agreed that if the aim of the analysis is to make inferences
about attributable (causal) risk, there is usually no justification
for fitting first that factor which is logically (and/or causally)
secondary. Thus in the context of the present example, we would not
usually be justified in fitting the effect for Vietnam service before
fitting an effect for a factor (e.g. psychological scale at induction)
which is logically prior to Vietnam service.

In other words, although it is plausible to postulate that a
psychological factor could influence the probability of Vietnam
service, it is much less plausible to postulate that Vietnam service
could influence psychological measures measured at army induction
(i.e. well before the process of selection for Vietnam service began) .

103

�6.5.7

Approach to the Testing qf_Aeti_ological Hypotheses

Thus in developing statistical procedures for testing aetiological
hypotheses, it is important firstly to impose a causal ordering on the
explanatory variables, and secondly to see whether, after allowing for
main effects of confounding variable and Vietnam service, the
interaction terms also have significant effects on outcome. If the
interaction terms are significant, this provides further evidence for
rejecting the null hypothesis in relation to Vietnam service.

104

�References
Adams, I.M., Hehir, P.J., Byth, K., Charlesworth, N., Mears, A. Report on the
Feasibility of Establishing an Index of Exposure to Herbicides for
Vietnam Veterans. (Confidential document) Australian Veterans
Herbicide Studies, November 1981.
American Psychiatric Association. Diagnositic and Statistical Manual of Mental
Disorder, ed. 3., Washington, D.C, 1980.
Army Manning Review 1973-74, Department of Defence, Canberra.
Axelson, O. and Sundell, L. Herbicide exposure, mortality and tumour
incidence. An epidemiological investigation on Swedish railroad
workers. Work Environment Health, 11, 21-28 (1974).
Baker, R.J. and Nelder J.A. The GLIM system release 3. Generalised linear
interactive modelling. Numerical Algorithms Group, Oxford, (1978).
Bishop, Y.M.M., Fienberg S.E., Holland, P.W. Discrete multivariate analysis:
Theory and practice. MIT Press, Cambridge, (1975).
Boman, B. Review: the Vietnam veteran ten years on. Aust. N.2. J. Psychiat.
1982; 16:107-127.
Breslow, N.E. and Day, N.E. Statistical methods in cancer research. I.
The analysis of case-control studies. IARC Scientific Publications
No. 33 (Lyon) , (1980).
Case-Control Study of Congenital Anomalies and Vietnam Service. (Confidential
document) Australian Veterans Herbicide Studies, April, 1982.
Cox, D.R.

Analysis of binary data.

Methuen, (1970) .

Draper, N.R. and Smith, H. Applied regression analysis.

Wiley, N.Y., (1966).

Fett, M.J. Retrospective Mortality Study of Vietnam Veterans and Controls.
Revised Protocol. (Confidential document). Australian Veterans
Health Studies, May, 1982.
Figley, C.R. and Stretch, R.H. Vietnam Veterans Questionnaire.
manuscript. U.S. Veterans' Administration, (1980).

Unpublished

Hardell, L. and Eriksson, M. Soft-tissue sarcomas, phenoxy herbicides and
chlorinated phenols. Lancet, j_i, 250, August 1, (1981) .
Hardell, L. and Sandstrom, A. Case-control study: Soft-tissue sarcomas and
exposure to phenoxyacetic acids or chlorophenols. Br. J. Cancer, 39,
711-717, (1979).
Honchat, P.A. and Halperin, W.E. 2,4,5-T, trichlorophenol and soft tissue
sarcoma. Lancet, \_, 268-9, January 31, ( 9 1 .
18)
International Agency for Research on Cancer. IARC monographs on the
evaluation of the carcinogenic risk of chemicals to man: Some
fumigants, the herbicides 2,4-D and 2,4,5-T, chlorinated
dibenzodioxins and miscellaneous industrial chemicals. 15, 41-299,
(1977).
105

�Ma thews, J.D. Alcohol use as a possible explanation for socio-economic
and occupational differentials in mortality from hypertension and
coronary heart disease in England and Wales. Aust. N.Z. J. Med., j&gt;,
393-397, (1976).
Ma thews, J.D. Genetics and alcohol: Implications for human disease.
N.Z.J. Med. n, 109-114, (1981).

Aust.

National Service Act 1951-1971, The Commonwealth of Australia.
Penk, K.E., Robinowitz, W.R., Roberts, E.T., Patterson, M.P. , Dolan, M.P. and
Atkins, H.G. Adjustment differences among male substance abusers
varying in degree of combat experience in Vietnam. J. Consult. Clin.
Psychol. , 4:9, 426-437, (1981).
Peto, R. 1973, (Personal communication).
Reggiani, G. Acute human exposure to TCDD in Seveso, Italy. J. Toxicol.
Environ. Health, Jj, 27-43, (1980).
Riihimaki, V., Asp, S., Seppalainen, A.M. and Heinberg, S., (1978) Mortality
study of persons exposed to dioxin after an accident which occurred in
the BASF on 13th November 1953. Working paper for the Workshop-on
Long-term Hazards of Polychlorinated Dibenzodioxins and
Polychlorinated Dibenzofurans. International Agency for Research on
Cancer, Lyons, January 10-12. Cited in Kimbrough, (1980).
Scientific Advisory Committee Report. (Confidential document) Australian
Veterans Herbicide Studies, February, 1981.
Sokal and Rolf.

Biometry. Freeman, San Francisco, 1972.

The PULHEEMS System of Medical Classification. Medical Pamphlet. Department
of Defence (Army Office), Canberra, 1978.
U.S. Veterans' Administration. Review of literature on herbicides, including
phenoxy herbicides and associated dioxins. Volume I, Washington
D.C., 1981.

106

�APPENDIX 1

SPECIFIC HYPOTHKSES AND POWER CALCULATIONS

The null hypothesis is that there are no differences in the frequency of
disabilities between Vietnam veterans and controls (national servicemen who
did not go to Vietnam). These null hypotheses will be tested against the
alternative hypotheses that each outcome listed in Table 1 is more frequent in
veterans than controls.

In interpreting Table 1 the following points should be borne in mind:

(1)

Smaller numbers of study subjects (sample sizes) than those given have
the consequence of increasing the minimum size of an effect (the
relative risk) that can be detected, that is, of reducing the
sensitivity of the study to detect veteran/control differences.

(2)

In the process of adjusting for pre-Vietnam and other differences in
the veteran/control group (for example, differences in marital status
at enlistment), the study becomes less sensitive than shown in Table'
1. The data in Table 1 are therefore 'best possible case1 data, where
no adjustment for veteran/control differences is required.

(3)

Many of the putative effects of Vietnam service appear to be related
to particular aspects of Vietnam service (e.g. combat). Since it is
unlikely that all veterans would be exposed to the factor of
importance (e.g. combat), the number of truly 'exposed1 veteran
subjects may be considerably below the total number of veteran

�subjects. This further reduces the power of the study to detect
veteran/control differences below those shown in Table 1.

This

consideration is the rationale for selecting veterans to controls in a
3 to 2 ratio, thereby permitting more powerful comparisons between
veterans at different levels of exposure to possible causal variables
for a given sample size, and at the same time reducing only slightly
the sensitivity of veteran-control comparisons.

It is not currently

possible to perform power calculations within the veteran group, as
the distribution of potentially causal variables among veterans is not
yet known.

�• I

Outcome

Source

Estimated
prevalence
(limits)

2,500 subjects
Rel. risk
Min VN-caused
detectable cases detectable/1000

Cancer

(i)

1%

2.23

Husculoskeletal
Arthritis/rheumatism
Muscular aches &amp; pains

(h)
(a)

3%

10-30%

1.65
1.16-1.32

Infectious Disease
Syphilis (VDRM+) )
Melioidosis
Strongyloidiasis

(a) , ( j )
(k) , (1)
(P)

0.5-1%
1-3%

1% in vets

5 , U U U siJD^eci-t.

12

Min VN-caused
cases detectable/1000

Rel. r i s k
detectable

Min VN-causod
cases detectable/1000

1.83

8

Rel. risk
detectable

5

1.63

4

1.45

19-28

1.11-1.23

2.23-2.90
1.65-2.23
2.23

6-8

8-12

1.83-2.24
1.45-1.83

8

8
14-20

1.34

1.09-1.18

6
11-16

1.63-1.94
1.34-1.63

1.83

4-5
5-8
5

1.63

3-4
4-6
4

Medical Treatment
Hospitalised in last
12 months
Medication taken in
last 2 days

(h)

14%

1.26

22

1.19

16

1.14

12

(h)

37%

1.14

30

1.10

21

1.08

17

Reproductive
Relative infertility

(a)

5%

1.48

14

1.33

10

1.26

8

Social and Behavioural
Never married
Divorced
Currently unemployed
Recent accident

(h)
(h)
(n)
(b)

13%
2.5%
4%
6%

1.28
1.74
1.55
1.43

22
11
13
16

1.19
1.50
1.38
1.30

15
8
9
11

1.15
1.39
1.28
1.23

12
6
7
8

3-16%

1-19%

1.24-1.65
1.22-2.23

12-23
8-25

1.17-1.45
1.15-1.83

8-16
5-17

1.13-1.34
1.12-1.63

6-13
4-14

0.5%
1-2%
3-10%

2.90
1.83-2.23
1.32-1.65

6
8-10
12-19

2.24

4
5-7
8-14

1.94

1.43-1.63
1.18-1.34

3
4-5
6-11

Psychiatric
(o)
Depression
Anxiety
(0)
Severe personality
disorder
(a)
(a) ,(p)
Psychosis
j
Alcoholism (100gms+/d)
(g)
Smoking: see Respiratory

*

1.53-1.83
1.23-1.45

Table 1. Prevalence of Outcomes of Importance with Minimum Relative Risks Detectable as Statistically Significant and the
Minimum Number of Vietnam-Caused Cases per 1,000 subjects that would be Detected with Power of 80% at PJJ_J 0.05
for Sample Sizes of 2,500, 5,000 and 18,000 subjects.

�Outcome

Kervous system
Clinical peripheral
neuropathy
Neu r opsy cholog ica 1
abnormality
Hearing abnormality
Frequent headaches
Skin
Severe acne
Fungal infections
Liver
Cirrhosis
Hepatitis B(+) aerology
Abnormal liver function
tests

Source

Estimated
prevalence
(limits)

2,500 subjects
Min VN-caused
Rel. risk
detectable cases detectable/1000

5,000 subjects
Rel. risk
Min VN-caused
detectable cases detectable/1000

Rel. r i s k
detectable

1.63-1.94

( 2 ) , (a)

0.5-1%

2.23-2.90

6-8

1.83-2.24

4-5

(3)
(3)
(4),(b)

5%
5%
3-4%

1.48
1.48

1.33
1.33

1.55-1.65

14
14
12-13

10
10
8-9

(a)
(a)

3%
4%

1.65
1.55

12
13

1.38-1.45
1.45
1.38

8
9

3-4

1.26
1.26

8
8
6-7

1.28-1.34
1.34
1.28

6
7

1.85

2-4
3

10

1.26

8

1.26
1.18
1.63

1.56-1.63

10
14
5
5-7

1.43-1.63

8
11
4
4-5

14

1..33

10

1.26

8-10

1.56-1.83

5-7

1.43-1.63

(a)
(c)

0.1-1%
0.6%

2.70

3-8
6

(3)

5%

1.48

(a)
(a)
(b)
(d)

5%
10%
1%
1-2%

1.48
1.32
2.33

(3)

1.83-4.3
2.11

14

1.33

1.33
1.23
1.83

1.83-2.23

14
19
8
8-10

5%

1.48

(e)

1-2%

1.83-2.23

(b)
(f)

0.1%
0.6%

6.3
2.7

Respiratory
Smoking currently
Asthma
Abnormal pulmonary

(g)

40-46%

(h)

2-4%

1.11-1.13
1.55-1.83

function tests

(3)

5%

1.48

Cardiovascular
Hypertension
Receiving medication
for hypertension
Symptoms of ischemic
heart disease
ECG abnormality

Min VN-caus«?d
cases detectable/1000

%

2.23-6.3

2-5
4

Gastrointestinal
Persistent vomiting
Persistent diarrhoea
Abdominal pain
Peptic ulcer

8,000 subjects

V.

3 '
6

30-31
10-13

14

4.3
2.11

1.08-1.09
1.38-1.56
1.33

2
4
22
7-9

10

1.63-3.5

3.5

1.85
1.06-1.07
1.28-1.43
1.26

8
4-5
2
3
17
5-7

�Notes

(1)

The power calculations have been performed using the following
parameters:
o

veteran to control ratio of 3 to 2

o

the 'relative risk detectable1 is the minimum relative risk
that would be statistically significant at the level ?„* 0.05,
with power of 80%

o

(2)

the excess cases in veterans are derived from the relative
risk detectable and the veteran to control ratio of 3 to 2.

Pilot Study prevalence data have been used only where other data have
not been obtainable, since the validity of Pilot Study data is
limited. The prevalence rates cited are for veteran and control
subjects combined.

(3)

For this measure an abnormal (positive) result is defined as that
result above which only 5% of the normal population resides.
*

(4)

All data are for the appropriate age and sex group.

Sources of Prevalence Data
(a)
Pilot Study, Australian Veterans Health Studies.
(b)
Australian Health Survey 1977-78 Recent Illness. ABS.
(c)
(d)

Nelson (1975)
Health Care Surveys Gosford/Wyong/Illawara 1975. ABS, HC NSW.

(e)

Australian Health Survey 1977-78. ABS.

(f)

Personal Communication: Dr T. Ireland, Director of Research,
Medicheck Centre.

(g)

Alcohol and Tobacco Consumption Patterns.

(h)
(i)

Social Indicators. No. 3. 1980. ABS.
Cancer in NSW Incidence and Mortality 1977. NSW Cancer Registry.

(j)

Personal Communication: A. Lee, Serologist, NSW Red Cross Blood
Transfusion Service,

(k)

Clayton et al (1973) .

(1)

Kishimoto et al (1971).

(m)
(n)

Gilbert et al (1968).
Labour Statistics 1980 Australia.

(o)
(p)

Reynolds and Rizzo (1979).
Goldberg (1972).

ABS.

February 1977. ABS.

�References

Australian Bureau of Statistics. Alcohol and Tobacco Consumption Patterns.
February 1977.

ABS Catalgoue No. 4312.0, Canberra, 1978.

Australian Bureau of Statistics. Australian Health "Survey 1977-1978. ABS
Catalogue No. 4311.0, Canberra, 1979.

Australian Bureau of Statistics. Labour Statistics 1980 Australia.

ABS

Catalogue No. 6101.0, Canberra, 1980.

Australian Bureau of Statistics. Social Indicators.

No. 3. 1980.

ABS

Catalogue No. 4101.0, Canberra, 1980.

Australian Bureau of Statistics. Australian Health Survey 1977-1978. Recent
Illness. ABS Catalogue No. 4318.0, Canberra, 1981.

Australian Bureau of Statistics and Health Commission of New South Wales.
Health Care Surveys in Gosford-Wyong and Illawarra areas of NSW.
1975.

AB^S Catalogue No. 4305.1, Sydney,

Clayton, A.J., Lisella, R.S. and Martin, D.G.

1976.

Melioidosis: A Serological

Survey in Military Personnel. Milit. Med. 3J3 : 24-26, (1973).

Gilbert, D.N., Moore, W.L.f Hedberg, C.L. and Sanford, J.P. Potential Medical
Problems in Personnel Returning from Vietnam.
68 t 662-678, (1968).

Review. Ann. Int. Med.

�Goldberg, D.P. The Detection of Psychiatric Illness by Questionnaire.
Institute of Psychiatry Maudsley Monographs No. 21. Oxford University
Press, London, 1972.

Kishimoto, R.A., Brown, G.L., Blair, E.B. and Wenkheimer, D.

Melioidosis:

Serologic Studies on US Army Personnel Returning from South East
Asia.

Milit. Med. 3j&gt; : 694-698, (1971).

Nelson, M. immunology and Epidemiology of the Hepatitis B (Australia) Antigen.
PhD thesis. Unilversity of New South Wales, 1975.

New South Kales Central Cancer Registry. Cancer in New South Wales Incidence
and Mortality 1977.

Health Commission of New South Wales, Sydney,

1981.

Reynolds, I. and Rizzo, C.

Psychosocial Problems of Sydney Adults.

Commission of NSW and Medicheck Referral Centre. 1979.

Health

�APPENDIX 2

PULHEEMS ARMY HEALTH RATINGS

The following tables outline the basis of the PULHEEMS ratings, and are
extracts from "The PULHEEMS System of Medical Classification1, 1978.
NOTES ON THE PULHEEMS QUALITIES

15.

a.

P - Physical Capacity.
This indicates general physical
development, potential capacity to acquire a high level of
physical stamina, capacity for hard work.

b.

U - Upper Limbs.
This indicates the functional use of
hands, arms, shoulder girdle and upper spine. Htyere there is
a degree of incapacity which would limit general physical
capacity the U assessment will also affect the P assessment.

c.

L - Lower Limbs.
This indicates the functional efficiency
of feet, legs, thighs, pelvis, lumbar spine, ankle, knee and
hip joints. As with the U assessment the L assessment may
also affect the P assessment.

d.

H - Hearing Acuity.
This indicates hearing acuity only.
Diseases of ear are to be assessed under the P quality.

e.

EE - Eyesight.
This indicates visual acuity only. Diseases
of the eyes are to be assessed under the P quality.

f.

M - Mental Capacity.
This is difficult to assess on the
basis of a single medical examination. Some guidance is given
by:
(1)
(2)

School record and post-school occupational record;

(3)
g.

Impression given on interview with regard to alertness
and intelligence;

Selection test results.

S - Emotional Stability
This is also difficult to assess on the basis of a single
examination. There are no tests of temperament or personality
available to estimate emotional stability. Reliance must be
placed on careful history taking, including family background
and employment record, and physical examination.

�DEGREES OF PULHEEMS QUALITIES

16.

There are nine degrees of qualities but not all of these are in use.
The following table shows the degrees used under each quality.
U

17.

H

M

The broad correlation between degress of P, U, L, M, S, and functional
capacity, combatant capacity, climatic restriction, is as follows:

Degree

Function
Capacity

Combatant
Capacity

Above Average

Full

Climatic
Restriction
None
Non tropital

Average

None
Non tropical

Below Average

None
Non tropical

Markedly
Deminished

Restricted

Serve in
Australia

Note: The restriction "Service in Australia"
applies only to P 7 and not to U7 or L7,
Under P, U, L, E, M, S « medically unfit for. any
form of service.

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&lt;p&gt;For more about this collection, &lt;a href="/exhibits/speccoll/exhibits/show/alvin-l--young-collection-on-a"&gt;view the Agent Orange Exhibit.&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</text>
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01874

Author
Corporate Author
ROPQPt/ArtlCiO TitlO "ineraryf°r Mr. K. D. A. Medbury, Commissioner,
Australian Repatriation Commission, Department of
Veterans Affairs, Australian Government, March 3-4,
1980

Journal/Book Title
Year

000

°

Month/Day
Color
Number of Images

2

Doscripton Notes

Wednesday, July 18, 2001

Pago 1874 of 1908

�ITINERARY

for
MR. K. D. A. MEDBURY

Commissiorir-r, Australian RepatriaLion Commission
Department of Veterans Affairs
Australian Government
MONDAY. 3 March 1980

0!OO

Colonel Lathrop and Lt Colonel Moynahan meet
Mr. Medbury at VIP Suite 240. Escort to
Officers' Mess for breakfast.

085fj

Transport to Headquarters, Aerospace Medical
Division (Bldg 150)

0900

Meet with Colonel Mohr (Bldg 150)

0930

Meet with Colonel Enders (Rldg 125)

0955

Transport to Eplcenrioloyy Division (Bldg 930)

1000

Introduction to Project RANCH HAND II (Colonel Lathrop)

1015

U.S. Air Force Experience with Herbicide Orange
(Major Young)

1015

Break

1100

Environmental Fate of Herbicide Orange (Major Young)

il'jfj

Transport to Officers' Mess

15:00

Lunch - Officers' Mess

l?f&gt;5

Transport to Epidemiology Division (Bldg 930)

I.';30

Literature Review (Major Sauri)

1400

L'pideriiiolofiic Approach (Lt Colonel Wolfe)

l'-30

Break

IMS

Data Collection (Lt Colonel Moynahan/
Captain Pennington)

l!»l'i

Physical Examination (Lt Colonel Wolfe)

IM r &gt;

Statistical Methodology (Dr. Albanese)

16T)

Resources (Major Daves)

\Wh

Transport U&gt; Officers' Mess

1630

Social Hour - Officers' Mess

�TUESDAYj. 1 —~"
March""J 9fJO
- - - ""' ~~
-™™
1

•"

0800

Colonel Lathrop and Lt Colonel Moynahan meet
Mr. Medbury at VIP Suite 240. Escort to
Officers' Mess for breakfast.

OR55

Transport to Headquarters, USAI" School of
Aerospace Medicine (Bldg 125}

0900

-USAF School of Aerospace Medicine Briefing
(Bldg 125, Conference Room) and tour of
facilities (Mr. Berry)

4

112b

Transport to Officers' Mess

1130

Lunch - Officers' Moss

12J.5

Transport to Epidemiology Division (Bldg 930)

1300

Sunmary/Questions and Answers (Colonel Lathrop)
Transportation on standby

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                  <text>&lt;p style="margin-top: -1em; line-height: 1.2em;"&gt;The Alvin L. Young Collection on Agent Orange comprises 120 linear feet and spans the late 1800s to 2005; however, the bulk of the coverage is from the 1960s to the 1980s and there are many undated items. The collection was donated to Special Collections of the National Agricultural Library in 1985 by Dr. Alvin L. Young (1942- ). Dr. Young developed the collection as he conducted extensive research on the military defoliant Agent Orange. The collection is in good condition and includes letters, memoranda, books, reports, press releases, journal and newspaper clippings, field logs and notebooks, newsletters, maps, booklets and pamphlets, photographs, memorabilia, and audiotapes of an interview with Dr. Young.&lt;/p&gt;&#13;
&lt;p&gt;For more about this collection, &lt;a href="/exhibits/speccoll/exhibits/show/alvin-l--young-collection-on-a"&gt;view the Agent Orange Exhibit.&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</text>
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